Primera División · Clausura - 12
Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Defensor Sporting host Racing Montevideo on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Defensor Sporting 41%, draw 29%, Racing Montevideo 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Defensor Sporting €315K, Racing Montevideo €368K.
- Home advantage makes Defensor Sporting the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Defensor Sporting goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Defensor Sporting 1471 · Racing Montevideo 1472
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Defensor Sporting
13th in Primera División - Apertura · 35 pts from 33
- 17 OctLBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1456
- 10 OctLCerro Uruguay Primera Division1484
- 3 OctLAlbion FC Uruguay Primera Division1474
- 27 SepWDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1472
- 20 SepLClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1462
Racing Montevideo
4th in Primera División - Apertura · 56 pts from 33
- 17 OctWWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1443
- 11 OctLJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1484
- 4 OctLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1497
- 26 SepLProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1472
- 12 SepWBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1448
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 96 /70 | 97.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
| Racing Montevideo | 109 /70 | 110.2 | 0% | 78% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –