Liga Profesional Argentina · Round of 16
Defensa Y Justicia vs Barracas Central
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Defensa Y Justicia host Barracas Central on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Defensa Y Justicia 49%, draw 27%, Barracas Central 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Defensa Y Justicia €882K, Barracas Central €562K.
- Barracas Central are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Defensa Y Justicia goals first.
- 1–015%
- 1–112%
- 0–011%
- 2–010%
- 0–19%
- 2–19%
- Other scores34%
Team Elo: Defensa Y Justicia 1754 · Barracas Central 1682
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Defensa Y Justicia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1863
Barracas Central · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1719
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Defensa Y Justicia
10th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 7 NovLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1759
- 2 NovDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1777
- 24 OctWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1759
- 16 OctLInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1749
- 10 OctWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1739
Barracas Central
9th in Liga Profesional · 21 pts from 16
- 6 NovWRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1648
- 1 NovDBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1672
- 26 OctWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1621
- 19 OctDSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional1647
- 10 OctWHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional1632
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensa Y Justicia | 47 /32 | 48.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
| Barracas Central | 47 /32 | 48.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Defensa Y Justicia: possession-based (how J. Vaccari plays) · Barracas Central: balanced profile (how Damián Ayude plays)