Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
De Graafschap vs MVV
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
De Graafschap host MVV on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: De Graafschap 54%, draw 26%, MVV 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: De Graafschap €499K, MVV €306K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Eerste Divisie): De Graafschap rank #4 of 20, MVV #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. De Graafschap goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: De Graafschap 1670 · MVV 1515
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
De Graafschap · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1758
MVV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1594
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
De Graafschap
14th in Eerste Divisie · 15 pts from 13
- 30 OctWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1676
- 27 OctLRoda Netherlands KNVB Beker1581
- 23 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1668
- 19 OctLJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1641
- 9 OctWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1651
MVV
11th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 13
- 31 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1559
- 28 OctLExcelsior Netherlands KNVB Beker1548
- 23 OctDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1561
- 18 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1588
- 9 OctLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1560
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 15 /13 | 52.5 | <1% | 5% | 2% | 10th |
| MVV | 17 /13 | 44.3 | 0% | <1% | 24% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
De Graafschap: balanced profile (how Thomas Duivenvoorden plays) · MVV: balanced profile (how Andries Jonker plays)