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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29

DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls

Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Audi Field, Washington

DC United crestDC UnitedTeam 1819
2–1
Full time
HT 2–0
New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsTeam 1848

Match story

DC United · draw · New York Red Bulls

Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%

Live chances: DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · DC United 43%, draw 28%, New York Red Bulls 29%2' · 0–0 · DC United 42%, draw 28%, New York Red Bulls 29%3' · 0–0 · DC United 42%, draw 28%, New York Red Bulls 29%4' · 0–0 · DC United 42%, draw 28%, New York Red Bulls 29%5' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%6' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%7' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%8' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%9' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%10' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%11' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%12' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%13' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%14' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 11%15' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 10%16' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%17' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%18' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%19' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%20' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%21' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%22' · 1–0 · DC United 70%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%23' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%24' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%25' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 10%26' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%28' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%29' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%30' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%31' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%32' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%33' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%34' · 1–0 · DC United 71%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 9%36' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%38' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%39' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%41' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%42' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%43' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%44' · 1–0 · DC United 72%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 8%45' · 1–0 · DC United 73%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 7%45+1' · 1–0 · DC United 73%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 7%45+2' · 1–0 · DC United 73%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 7%45+3' · 1–0 · DC United 73%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 7%45+4' · 1–0 · DC United 73%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 7%HT · 2–0 · DC United 94%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%46' · 2–0 · DC United 94%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%47' · 2–0 · DC United 94%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%48' · 2–0 · DC United 94%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%49' · 2–0 · DC United 94%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%50' · 2–0 · DC United 94%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%51' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%52' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%53' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%54' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%55' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%56' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%57' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%58' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%59' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%60' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%61' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%62' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%63' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%64' · 2–0 · DC United 96%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%65' · 2–0 · DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%66' · 2–0 · DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%67' · 2–0 · DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%68' · 2–0 · DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%69' · 2–0 · DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%70' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 5%, New York Red Bulls 1%71' · 2–0 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 1%72' · 2–1 · DC United 72%, draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 5%73' · 2–1 · DC United 72%, draw 23%, New York Red Bulls 5%74' · 2–1 · DC United 73%, draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 5%75' · 2–1 · DC United 74%, draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 4%76' · 2–1 · DC United 75%, draw 21%, New York Red Bulls 4%77' · 2–1 · DC United 75%, draw 21%, New York Red Bulls 4%78' · 2–1 · DC United 76%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 4%79' · 2–1 · DC United 77%, draw 20%, New York Red Bulls 3%80' · 2–1 · DC United 78%, draw 19%, New York Red Bulls 3%81' · 2–1 · DC United 79%, draw 18%, New York Red Bulls 3%82' · 2–1 · DC United 80%, draw 18%, New York Red Bulls 2%83' · 2–1 · DC United 81%, draw 17%, New York Red Bulls 2%84' · 2–1 · DC United 82%, draw 16%, New York Red Bulls 2%85' · 2–1 · DC United 83%, draw 15%, New York Red Bulls 2%86' · 2–1 · DC United 84%, draw 14%, New York Red Bulls 1%87' · 2–1 · DC United 85%, draw 14%, New York Red Bulls 1%88' · 2–1 · DC United 86%, draw 12%, New York Red Bulls 1%89' · 2–1 · DC United 88%, draw 11%, New York Red Bulls 1%90' · 2–1 · DC United 89%, draw 10%, New York Red Bulls 1%90+1' · 2–1 · DC United 91%, draw 9%, New York Red Bulls 0%90+2' · 2–1 · DC United 92%, draw 7%, New York Red Bulls 0%90+3' · 2–1 · DC United 94%, draw 6%, New York Red Bulls 0%90+4' · 2–1 · DC United 95%, draw 4%, New York Red Bulls 0%90+5' · 2–1 · DC United 97%, draw 3%, New York Red Bulls 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave DC United 43% to win: they did.

  1. 5'DC United:Tai Baribo 1968 +26 (pen.)
  2. 19'New York Red Bulls:Devin Padelford 1853 −5
  3. 22'DC United:Lucas Bartlett 1853 +11
  4. 29'DC United:Jackson Hopkins 1749 +14
  5. 45+5'DC United:Silvan Hefti 1880 +41 assist Tai Baribo 1968 +26
  6. 56'DC United:Jared Stroud 1667 +8 for Oscar Avilez 1620 +11*
  7. 56'DC United:João Gabriel Martins Peglow 1820 +7 for Jackson Hopkins 1749 +14
  8. 57'New York Red Bulls:Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 1900 −3 for Justin Che 1818 −2
  9. 57'New York Red Bulls:Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 1623 −10 for Cade Cowell 1910 −16
  10. 57'New York Red Bulls:Emil Forsberg 1732 −7 for Adri Mehmeti 1887 −5
  11. 57'New York Red Bulls:Cameron Harper 1934 −11* for Jorge Ruvalcaba 1931 −7
  12. 67'New York Red Bulls:Dylan Nealis 1911 −10
  13. 68'DC United:Lucas Bartlett 1853 +11
  14. 70'DC United:Sean Nealis 1846 −6* for Brandon Servania 1825 +13
  15. 71'New York Red Bulls:Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 1623 −10 assist Emil Forsberg 1732 −7
  16. 73'New York Red Bulls:Ronald Donkor 1934 −9
  17. 78'New York Red Bulls:Sekou Kone 1599 0 for Ronald Donkor 1934 −9

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-3-3
GS. Johnson1813+13
DS. Hefti1880+41
DL. Bartlett1853+11
DK. Rowles1887+13
DK. Kurokawa1873+13
MK. Nono1965+10
MA. Dozzell1948+10
MB. Servania1825+13
FO. Avilez1620+11*
FT. Baribo1968+26
FJ. Hopkins1749+14
CR. Weiler1889+27
GE. Horvath1918−10
DD. Nealis1911−10
DJ. Che1818−2
DJ. Bazán17100
DD. Padelford1853−5
MR. Donkor1934−9
MA. Mehmeti1887−5
MM. Sofo1800−2
FJ. Ruvalcaba1931−7
FJ. Hall1936−11
FC. Cowell1910−16
CMichael Bradley17500
Before kick-off: 43% · 28% · 29%(DC United · draw · New York Red Bulls)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: DC United €1.4M, New York Red Bulls €2.2M.
  • DC United were without 1 expected starter: Hosei Kijima (1654).
  • Home advantage made DC United the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

DC United

12th in MLS · 30 pts from 27

  • 10 OctLInter Miami 1832
  • 27 SepDVancouver Whitecaps 1840
  • 19 SepLCharlotte 1870
  • 12 SepDAtlanta United FC 1889
  • 9 SepWColumbus Crew 1864

New York Red Bulls

8th in MLS · 36 pts from 28

  • 10 OctWSan Diego 1862
  • 30 SepLSt. Louis City 1793
  • 18 SepWNew York City FC 1840
  • 12 SepWColumbus Crew 1809
  • 10 SepLLos Angeles FC 1768

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
DC United30 /2738.40%0%12%27th
New York Red Bulls36 /2843.20%0%<1%17th
DC United
New York Red Bulls

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

K. Rowles
K. Rowles

DC United · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1874

J. Bazán
J. Bazán

New York Red Bulls · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1710

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

René Weiler

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Michael Bradley

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

DC United: direct · high-pressing (how René Weiler plays) · New York Red Bulls: balanced profile (how Michael Bradley plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.