Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
DC United vs New York City FC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Audi Field, Washington
DC United host New York City FC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: DC United 39%, draw 29%, New York City FC 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: DC United €1.4M, New York City FC €2.4M.
- Home advantage makes DC United the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. DC United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: DC United 1844 · New York City FC 1918
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
DC United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1849
New York City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.5 (Elite) · Elo 1920
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
DC United
13th in MLS · 33 pts from 30
- 21 OctLFC Cincinnati MLS1864
- 17 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1864
- 14 OctWNew York Red Bulls MLS1837
- 10 OctLInter Miami MLS1832
- 27 SepDVancouver Whitecaps MLS1840
New York City FC
12th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 17 OctDLos Angeles FC MLS1924
- 14 OctLInter Miami MLS1939
- 10 OctLChicago Fire MLS1964
- 26 SepDAtlanta United FC MLS1918
- 18 SepLNew York Red Bulls MLS1953
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC United | 33 /30 | 37.9 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 27th |
| New York City FC | 34 /30 | 39.8 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
DC United: direct · high-pressing (how René Weiler plays) · New York City FC: balanced profile (how Pascal Jansen plays)