Primera División · Clausura - 11
Danubio 1–0 Central Espanol
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo
DanubioTeam 13731–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Central EspanolTeam 1416- Sebastián Fernández 45+8' (pen)
We gave Danubio 38% to win: they did.
- mateo rinaldi –13'
Danubio:mateo rinaldi – - Cristhian Andres Tizon Correa – for Joaquin Gabriel Trasante Hernandez –38'
Danubio:Cristhian Andres Tizon Correa – for Joaquin Gabriel Trasante Hernandez – - 45+7'Marcos Montiel –
Central Espanol:Marcos Montiel – - Sebastián Fernández – (pen.)45+8'
Danubio:Sebastián Fernández – (pen.) - D. Garcia for mateo rinaldi –46'
Danubio:D. Garcia for mateo rinaldi – - Diego piriz – for Sebastián Fernández –63'
Danubio:Diego piriz – for Sebastián Fernández – - J. Millán – for Sebastián Rodriguez –63'
Danubio:J. Millán – for Sebastián Rodriguez – - 63'santiago sequeira – for Marcos Montiel –
Central Espanol:santiago sequeira – for Marcos Montiel – - 66'Guillermo gandolfo –
Central Espanol:Guillermo gandolfo – - Bautista Pereira – for Enzo Cabrera –78'
Danubio:Bautista Pereira – for Enzo Cabrera – - 82'Francisco Montoro for Mariano Aguilera –
Central Espanol:Francisco Montoro for Mariano Aguilera – - 83'facundo sosa – for Fernando Camarda –
Central Espanol:facundo sosa – for Fernando Camarda – - J. Millán –87'
Danubio:J. Millán – - 90'santiago sequeira –
Central Espanol:santiago sequeira –
Before kick-off (provisional): 38% · 29% · 33%(Danubio · draw · Central Espanol)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Danubio €216K, Central Espanol €221K.
- Home advantage made Danubio the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Rodolfo (Central Espanol) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Danubio
16th in Primera División - Apertura · 29 pts from 32
- 9 OctLAtletico Torque Uruguay Primera Division1375
- 4 OctWCerro Largo Uruguay Primera Division1393
- 27 SepLDefensor Sporting Uruguay Primera Division1343
- 20 SepDWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1332
- 13 SepDJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1348
Central Espanol
10th in Primera División - Apertura · 38 pts from 32
- 11 OctLClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1432
- 3 OctLDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1444
- 12 JulDBoston River Uruguay Primera Division1408
- 6 JunDRacing Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1401
- 1 JunWPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1379
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 72 /69 | 74.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
| Central Espanol | 38 /32 | 40.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Danubio
Central Espanol
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Leonel Rocco Herrera
Coach DNA: –
Antonio Pacheco D'Agosti
Coach DNA: –