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Primera División · Clausura - 11

Danubio 1–0 Central Espanol

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Gardens of the Hippodrome, Montevideo

Danubio crestDanubioTeam 1373
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Central Espanol crestCentral EspanolTeam 1416

We gave Danubio 38% to win: they did.

  1. 13'Danubio:mateo rinaldi –
  2. 38'Danubio:Cristhian Andres Tizon Correa – for Joaquin Gabriel Trasante Hernandez –
  3. 45+7'Central Espanol:Marcos Montiel –
  4. 45+8'Danubio:Sebastián Fernández – (pen.)
  5. 46'Danubio:D. Garcia for mateo rinaldi –
  6. 63'Danubio:Diego piriz – for Sebastián Fernández –
  7. 63'Danubio:J. Millán – for Sebastián Rodriguez –
  8. 63'Central Espanol:santiago sequeira – for Marcos Montiel –
  9. 66'Central Espanol:Guillermo gandolfo –
  10. 78'Danubio:Bautista Pereira – for Enzo Cabrera –
  11. 82'Central Espanol:Francisco Montoro for Mariano Aguilera –
  12. 83'Central Espanol:facundo sosa – for Fernando Camarda –
  13. 87'Danubio:J. Millán –
  14. 90'Central Espanol:santiago sequeira –
Before kick-off (provisional): 38% · 29% · 33%(Danubio · draw · Central Espanol)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the expected XI: Danubio €216K, Central Espanol €221K.
  • Home advantage made Danubio the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Rodolfo (Central Espanol) had not played for over 90 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Danubio

16th in Primera División - Apertura · 29 pts from 32

  • 9 OctLAtletico Torque 1375
  • 4 OctWCerro Largo 1393
  • 27 SepLDefensor Sporting 1343
  • 20 SepDWanderers 1332
  • 13 SepDJuventud 1348

Central Espanol

10th in Primera División - Apertura · 38 pts from 32

  • 11 OctLClub Nacional 1432
  • 3 OctLDeportivo Maldonado 1444
  • 12 JulDBoston River 1408
  • 6 JunDRacing Montevideo 1401
  • 1 JunWPenarol 1379

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Danubio72 /6974.20%0%0%12th
Central Espanol38 /3240.60%0%100%16th
Danubio
Central Espanol

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).