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Super League · Regular Season - 28

Dalian Zhixing 3–1 Sichuan Jiuniu

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Dalian

Dalian Zhixing crestDalian ZhixingTeam 1627
3–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Sichuan Jiuniu crestSichuan JiuniuTeam 1632

Match story

Dalian Zhixing · draw · Sichuan Jiuniu

Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 30%

Live chances: Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0% at 90'1' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 42%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%2' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 42%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%3' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 41%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%4' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 41%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%5' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 41%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%6' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 41%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%7' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 41%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%8' · 0–0 · Dalian Zhixing 41%, draw 29%, Sichuan Jiuniu 30%9' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%10' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%11' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%12' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%13' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%14' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%15' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%16' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%17' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 67%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 12%18' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%19' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%20' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%21' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%22' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%23' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%24' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%25' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%26' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%27' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%28' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 11%29' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%30' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%31' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 68%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%32' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%33' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%34' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%35' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%36' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%37' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 10%38' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 9%39' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 9%40' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 69%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 9%41' · 1–0 · Dalian Zhixing 70%, draw 21%, Sichuan Jiuniu 9%42' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 7%, Sichuan Jiuniu 2%43' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 7%, Sichuan Jiuniu 2%44' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 2%45' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 2%45+1' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%45+2' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%45+3' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 92%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%HT · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%46' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%47' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%48' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%49' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%50' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%51' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 6%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%52' · 2–0 · Dalian Zhixing 93%, draw 5%, Sichuan Jiuniu 1%53' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%54' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%55' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%56' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%57' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%58' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%59' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%60' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%61' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%62' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%63' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%64' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%65' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 1%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%66' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 99%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%67' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%68' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%69' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%70' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%71' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%72' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%73' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%74' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%75' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%76' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%77' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%78' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%79' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%80' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%81' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%83' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%84' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%85' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%86' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%87' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%88' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%89' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%90' · 3–0 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%90' · 3–1 · Dalian Zhixing 100%, draw 0%, Sichuan Jiuniu 0%

Last reading, 90': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Dalian Zhixing 42% to win: they did.

  1. 8'Dalian Zhixing:N. Stanciu 1754 +26 assist Luo Jing 1646 +31
  2. 33'Dalian Zhixing:Song Yue 1681 +3 for Bi Jinhao 1581 +4*
  3. 42'Dalian Zhixing:Luo Jing 1646 +31 assist Feng Boxuan 1710 +12
  4. 52'Dalian Zhixing:F. Acheampong 1740 +30
  5. 57'Sichuan Jiuniu:Dai Wai-Tsun 1671 −1 for H. Shen 1555 −8*
  6. 60'Dalian Zhixing:Huang Shan 1307 +13 for Zhang Huachen 1611 +34
  7. 60'Dalian Zhixing:Yang Mingrui 1586 +7 for P. Delgado 1717 +22
  8. 66'Dalian Zhixing:Feng Jing 1432 +3 for Luo Jing 1646 +31
  9. 79'Sichuan Jiuniu:Xia Dalong 1410 −12* for D. Owusu-Sekyere 1695 −1
  10. 90+1'Sichuan Jiuniu:Dai Wai-Tsun 1671 −1 assist A. Ademi 1785 −7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GJiabao Ji1562−8*
DMiao Tang1600−8
DGabriel Xavier1893−20
DHuanming Shen1555−8*
DLi Long1144−1
MJunsheng Yao1630−3
MDeabeas Owusu-Sekyere1695−1
MZhang Yufeng1584−1
MEden Karzev1756−2
MAlbion Ademi1785−7
FWesley Moraes1776−3
CRobbie Neilson1715
Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 30%(Dalian Zhixing · draw · Sichuan Jiuniu)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Dalian Zhixing €238K, Sichuan Jiuniu €315K.
  • Home advantage made Dalian Zhixing the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • All 11 of Dalian Zhixing's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
  • Dalian Zhixing were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Dalian Zhixing

2nd in Super League · 43 pts from 27

  • 11 OctWQingdao Youth Island 1674
  • 5 SepWQingdao Jonoon 1679
  • 28 AugDBeijing Guoan 1679
  • 23 AugWChongqing Tongliang Long 1650
  • 19 AugDShanghai SIPG 1632

Sichuan Jiuniu

12th in Super League · 29 pts from 27

  • 9 OctDHenan Jianye 1712
  • 5 SepDShandong Luneng 1703
  • 28 AugLShanghai SIPG 1684
  • 22 AugDHangzhou Greentown 1685
  • 15 AugWShenyang Urban 1691

Season outlook

From the Super League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Dalian Zhixing43 /2747.00%95%0%2nd
Sichuan Jiuniu29 /2733.10%0%7%12th
Dalian Zhixing
Sichuan Jiuniu

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Alimi
I. Alimi

Dalian Zhixing · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1739

Wesley Moraes
Wesley Moraes

Sichuan Jiuniu · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1780

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Guoxu Li

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Robbie Neilson

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Dalian Zhixing: balanced profile (how Guoxu Li plays) · Sichuan Jiuniu: balanced profile (how Robbie Neilson plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.