K League 1 · Regular Season - 31
Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Jeonbuk Motors
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
Daejeon CitizenTeam 1652Jeonbuk MotorsTeam 1677We gave Daejeon Citizen 39% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%(Daejeon Citizen · draw · Jeonbuk Motors)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Daejeon Citizen €513K, Jeonbuk Motors €603K.
- Home advantage made Daejeon Citizen the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- K League 1: Song Bum-Keun was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1858).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (K League 1): Daejeon Citizen ranked #2 of 13, Jeonbuk Motors #13.
- All 11 of Daejeon Citizen's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Daejeon Citizen
6th in K League 1 · 40 pts from 30
- 20 SepDIncheon United K League 11693
- 15 SepWKyoto Sanga AFC Champions League1682
- 12 SepDPohang Steelers K League 11693
- 9 SepWFC Anyang K League 11684
- 5 SepWBucheon FC 1995 K League 11684
Jeonbuk Motors
4th in K League 1 · 44 pts from 30
- 20 SepDGwangju FC K League 11748
- 16 SepWKashiwa Reysol AFC Champions League1725
- 12 SepLFC Seoul K League 11722
- 9 SepDGangwon FC K League 11716
- 5 SepWPohang Steelers K League 11697
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | 40 /30 | 45.0 | 0% | 17% | <1% | 6th |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 44 /30 | 48.5 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Daejeon Citizen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1786
Jeonbuk Motors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1669
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Daejeon Citizen: balanced profile (how Sun-Hong Hwang plays) · Jeonbuk Motors: balanced profile (how Jung-Yong Chung plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.