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K League 1 · Regular Season - 32

Daejeon Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon

Daejeon Citizen crestDaejeon CitizenTeam 1648
3–2
Full time
HT 0–2
Gwangju FC crestGwangju FCTeam 1428

Match story

Daejeon Citizen · draw · Gwangju FC

Before kick-off: 59% · 24% · 17%

Live chances: Daejeon Citizen 100%, draw 0%, Gwangju FC 0% at 90+9'1' · 0–0 · Daejeon Citizen 59%, draw 24%, Gwangju FC 17%2' · 0–0 · Daejeon Citizen 59%, draw 24%, Gwangju FC 17%3' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 43%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 31%4' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 42%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 31%5' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 42%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 32%6' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 42%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 32%7' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 42%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 32%8' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 41%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 32%9' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 41%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 32%10' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 41%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 33%11' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 40%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 33%12' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 40%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 33%13' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 40%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 33%14' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 34%15' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 39%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 34%16' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 34%17' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 34%18' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 35%19' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 37%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 35%20' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 37%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 35%21' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 37%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 36%22' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 36%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 36%23' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 36%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 36%24' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 35%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 36%25' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 35%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 37%26' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 35%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 37%27' · 0–1 · Daejeon Citizen 34%, draw 28%, Gwangju FC 37%28' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 11%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 70%29' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 11%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 71%30' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 11%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 71%31' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 11%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 71%32' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 10%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 72%33' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 10%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 72%34' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 10%, draw 18%, Gwangju FC 73%35' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 10%, draw 17%, Gwangju FC 73%36' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 9%, draw 17%, Gwangju FC 73%37' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 9%, draw 17%, Gwangju FC 74%38' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 9%, draw 17%, Gwangju FC 74%39' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 9%, draw 17%, Gwangju FC 75%40' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 8%, draw 16%, Gwangju FC 75%41' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 8%, draw 16%, Gwangju FC 76%42' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 8%, draw 16%, Gwangju FC 76%43' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 8%, draw 16%, Gwangju FC 77%44' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 16%, Gwangju FC 77%45' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 15%, Gwangju FC 77%45+1' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 15%, Gwangju FC 78%45+2' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 15%, Gwangju FC 78%45+3' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 6%, draw 15%, Gwangju FC 79%HT · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 6%, draw 15%, Gwangju FC 79%46' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 6%, draw 15%, Gwangju FC 79%47' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 6%, draw 14%, Gwangju FC 80%48' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 6%, draw 14%, Gwangju FC 80%49' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 6%, draw 14%, Gwangju FC 81%50' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 5%, draw 14%, Gwangju FC 81%51' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 5%, draw 13%, Gwangju FC 82%52' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 5%, draw 13%, Gwangju FC 82%53' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 5%, draw 13%, Gwangju FC 83%54' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 4%, draw 12%, Gwangju FC 83%55' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 4%, draw 12%, Gwangju FC 84%56' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 4%, draw 12%, Gwangju FC 84%57' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 4%, draw 11%, Gwangju FC 85%58' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 3%, draw 11%, Gwangju FC 86%59' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 3%, draw 11%, Gwangju FC 86%60' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 3%, draw 10%, Gwangju FC 87%61' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 3%, draw 10%, Gwangju FC 87%62' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 3%, draw 10%, Gwangju FC 88%63' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 9%, Gwangju FC 88%64' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 9%, Gwangju FC 89%65' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 9%, Gwangju FC 89%66' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 8%, Gwangju FC 90%67' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 8%, Gwangju FC 90%68' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 8%, Gwangju FC 91%69' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 2%, draw 7%, Gwangju FC 91%70' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 1%, draw 7%, Gwangju FC 92%71' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 1%, draw 7%, Gwangju FC 92%72' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 1%, draw 6%, Gwangju FC 92%73' · 0–2 · Daejeon Citizen 1%, draw 6%, Gwangju FC 93%74' · 1–2 · Daejeon Citizen 8%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 65%75' · 1–2 · Daejeon Citizen 8%, draw 27%, Gwangju FC 65%76' · 1–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 67%77' · 1–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 68%78' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 27%, draw 59%, Gwangju FC 14%79' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 26%, draw 61%, Gwangju FC 13%80' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 25%, draw 62%, Gwangju FC 13%81' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 24%, draw 64%, Gwangju FC 12%82' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 23%, draw 65%, Gwangju FC 12%83' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 22%, draw 67%, Gwangju FC 12%84' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 21%, draw 68%, Gwangju FC 11%85' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 19%, draw 70%, Gwangju FC 10%86' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 18%, draw 72%, Gwangju FC 10%87' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 17%, draw 74%, Gwangju FC 9%88' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 16%, draw 76%, Gwangju FC 9%89' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 14%, draw 78%, Gwangju FC 8%90' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 13%, draw 80%, Gwangju FC 7%90+1' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 11%, draw 83%, Gwangju FC 6%90+2' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 9%, draw 86%, Gwangju FC 5%90+3' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 7%, draw 89%, Gwangju FC 4%90+4' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 5%, draw 92%, Gwangju FC 3%90+5' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 3%, draw 95%, Gwangju FC 2%90+6' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 1%, draw 98%, Gwangju FC 1%90+7' · 2–2 · Daejeon Citizen 0%, draw 100%, Gwangju FC 0%90+9' · 3–2 · Daejeon Citizen 100%, draw 0%, Gwangju FC 0%

Last reading, 90+9': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Daejeon Citizen 59% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Gwangju FC:John Iredale 1536 −13 assist Kwon Sung-yun 1270 0
  2. 28'Gwangju FC:John Iredale 1536 −13 assist Kim Dong-Hwa 1422 0
  3. 29'Daejeon Citizen:Diogo Oliveira 1689 +18 for Masatoshi Ishida 1749 0
  4. 31'Gwangju FC:Yu Je-Ho 1538 −3
  5. 45'Gwangju FC:Ri Yong-jik 1046 −8 for Yu Je-Ho 1538 −3
  6. 45'Daejeon Citizen:Seo Jin-Su 1699 +14 for Um Won-Sang 1746 +3
  7. 61'Gwangju FC:Moon Min-Seo 1509 −1 for Ha Seung-un 1491 −3
  8. 61'Gwangju FC:Ri Yong-jik 1046 −8
  9. 73'Gwangju FC:Park Won-Jae 1343 −4 for John Iredale 1536 −13
  10. 73'Gwangju FC:Ahn Young-Kyu 1116 −9 for Min Sang-gi 1396 −7
  11. 73'Gwangju FC:Kim Jong-Suk 1216 −11* for Lee Min-Ki 1563 −11
  12. 74'Daejeon Citizen:Seo Jin-Su 1699 +14 (pen.)
  13. 74'Gwangju FC:Kim Dong-Hwa 1422 0
  14. 78'Daejeon Citizen:Diogo Oliveira 1689 +18 assist Gustav Ludwigson 1636 +8
  15. 85'Daejeon Citizen:Jeong Jae-hee 1625 −3 for Joo Min-Kyu 1571 +6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GKim Dong-Hwa14220
DKwon Sung-Yun12700
DT. van Grunsven1573−8
DMin Sang-Gi1396−7
DLee Min-Gi1563−11
MShin Chang-Moo1502−9
MChoi Kyoung-Rok1543−9
MYu Je-Ho1538−3
MHa Seung-Un1491−3
FA. Ba Loua1543−8
FJ. Iredale1536−13
CJeong-kyu Lee1481−5
Before kick-off: 59% · 24% · 17%(Daejeon Citizen · draw · Gwangju FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Daejeon Citizen €596K, Gwangju FC €271K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of K League 1 matchday 32: 249 points.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (K League 1): Daejeon Citizen ranked #11 of 13, Gwangju FC #2.
  • Daejeon Citizen's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.4 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of Daejeon Citizen's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Daejeon Citizen

6th in K League 1 · 43 pts from 31

  • 13 OctDShanghai SIPG 1678
  • 9 OctWJeonbuk Motors 1681
  • 20 SepDIncheon United 1693
  • 15 SepWKyoto Sanga 1682
  • 12 SepDPohang Steelers 1693

Gwangju FC

12th in K League 1 · 18 pts from 31

  • 11 OctWUlsan Hyundai FC 1470
  • 20 SepDJeonbuk Motors 1439
  • 13 SepDFC Anyang 1383
  • 9 SepLJeju United FC 1404
  • 6 SepDGimcheon Sangmu FC 1401

Season outlook

From the K League 1 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Daejeon Citizen43 /3146.60%34%0%5th
Gwangju FC18 /3119.80%0%100%12th
Daejeon Citizen
Gwangju FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: K League 1

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Krivotsyuk
A. Krivotsyuk

Daejeon Citizen · -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1733

T. van Grunsven
T. van Grunsven

Gwangju FC · +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1581

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Sun-Hong Hwang

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Jeong-kyu Lee

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Daejeon Citizen: balanced profile (how Sun-Hong Hwang plays) · Gwangju FC: balanced profile (how Jeong-kyu Lee plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.