Primera División · Regular Season - 27
D. La Serena vs Palestino
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio La Portada, La Serena
D. La Serena host Palestino on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: D. La Serena 37%, draw 29%, Palestino 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: D. La Serena €332K, Palestino €282K.
- Home advantage makes D. La Serena the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. D. La Serena goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: D. La Serena 1547 · Palestino 1555
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
D. La Serena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1542
Palestino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1577
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
D. La Serena
11th in Primera División · 30 pts from 24
- 11 OctLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1557
- 13 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1581
- 6 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1563
- 31 AugWUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1544
- 23 AugDCobresal Chile Primera Division1551
Palestino
5th in Primera División · 37 pts from 24
- 11 OctDDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1544
- 12 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1566
- 6 SepWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1546
- 28 AugLCobresal Chile Primera Division1559
- 23 AugWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1546
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. La Serena | 30 /24 | 37.1 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 13th |
| Palestino | 37 /24 | 44.4 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
D. La Serena: dribble-heavy (how F. Bozán plays) · Palestino: balanced profile (how G. Farré plays)