Primera División · Regular Season - 25
D. La Serena vs Concepción
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · La Portada, La Serena
D. La Serena host Concepción on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: D. La Serena 35%, draw 29%, Concepción 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: D. La Serena €321K, Concepción €255K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. D. La Serena goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: D. La Serena 1546 · Concepción 1571
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
D. La Serena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1542
Concepción · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.2 (Elite) · Elo 1668
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
D. La Serena
11th in Primera División · 30 pts from 24
- 11 OctLEverton de Vina Chile Primera Division1557
- 13 SepLUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1581
- 6 SepWNublense Chile Primera Division1563
- 31 AugWUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1544
- 23 AugDCobresal Chile Primera Division1551
Concepción
8th in Primera División · 32 pts from 24
- 11 OctDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1592
- 13 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1553
- 5 SepLA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1561
- 30 AugWNublense Chile Primera Division1588
- 23 AugDCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1573
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. La Serena | 30 /24 | 37.1 | 0% | <1% | 6% | 12th |
| Concepción | 32 /24 | 39.6 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
D. La Serena: dribble-heavy (how Francisco Andrés Bozán Santibáñez plays) · Concepción: balanced profile (how Patricio Almendra plays)