Serie B · Regular Season - 36
Cuiaba vs São Bernardo
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba host São Bernardo on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cuiaba 49%, draw 27%, São Bernardo 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cuiaba €560K, São Bernardo €375K.
- All 11 of São Bernardo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cuiaba goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cuiaba 1693 · São Bernardo 1662
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cuiaba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1772
São Bernardo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1754
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cuiaba
11th in Serie B · 47 pts from 33
- 11 OctLAvai Brazil Serie B1717
- 7 OctDVila Nova Brazil Serie B1715
- 3 OctWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1674
- 27 SepLCRB Brazil Serie B1697
- 22 SepWNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1701
São Bernardo
12th in Serie B · 46 pts from 34
- 18 OctLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1612
- 11 OctDJuventude Brazil Serie B1673
- 6 OctLSport Recife Brazil Serie B1676
- 2 OctWCRB Brazil Serie B1674
- 25 SepDNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1686
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba | 47 /33 | 54.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
| São Bernardo | 46 /34 | 51.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cuiaba: balanced profile (how Eduardo Maciel de Barros plays) · São Bernardo: balanced profile (how Vinícius Bergantin plays)