Serie B · Regular Season - 33
Cuiaba 0–1 Avai
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 21:30 UTC · Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba
CuiabaTeam 1699AvaiTeam 1609- Daniel Penha 40'
We gave Cuiaba 54% to win: Avai won.
- David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo –29'Cuiaba:David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo –
- 40'Daniel Penha – assist João Vitor –Avai:Daniel Penha – assist João Vitor –
- Luiz Otavio – for Raul Lô Gonçalves –45'Cuiaba:Luiz Otavio – for Raul Lô Gonçalves –
- Vinicius Peixoto – for David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo –45'Cuiaba:Vinicius Peixoto – for David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo –
- 54'João Vitor –Avai:João Vitor –
- Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho for Igor –61'Cuiaba:Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho for Igor –
- Pedro Henrique – for Fabio Gomes –61'Cuiaba:Pedro Henrique – for Fabio Gomes –
- 61'Pedro Henrique Franklim da Silva – for Wenderson –Avai:Pedro Henrique Franklim da Silva – for Wenderson –
- 61'Paulo Vitor – for Luiz Henrique –Avai:Paulo Vitor – for Luiz Henrique –
- 66'Léo Gamalho – for Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira –Avai:Léo Gamalho – for Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira –
- Rodrigo Antonio Rodrigues – for Jean Dias da Costa –74'Cuiaba:Rodrigo Antonio Rodrigues – for Jean Dias da Costa –
- 74'Wallison – for João Vitor –Avai:Wallison – for João Vitor –
- 74'Gaspar – for Jean Lucas Figueiredo –Avai:Gaspar – for Jean Lucas Figueiredo –
- 90'Daniel Penha –Avai:Daniel Penha –
Before kick-off (provisional): 54% · 26% · 21%(Cuiaba · draw · Avai)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cuiaba €546K, Avai €366K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cuiaba
10th in Serie B · 47 pts from 32
- 7 OctDVila Nova Brazil Serie B1715
- 3 OctWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1674
- 27 SepLCRB Brazil Serie B1697
- 22 SepWNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1701
- 13 SepDNovorizontino Brazil Serie B1673
Avai
17th in Serie B · 33 pts from 32
- 7 OctWLondrina Brazil Serie B1600
- 3 OctLCeara Brazil Serie B1564
- 27 SepLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1619
- 20 SepLGoias Brazil Serie B1617
- 15 SepDVila Nova Brazil Serie B1618
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiaba | 47 /32 | 56.4 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 9th |
| Avai | 33 /32 | 41.2 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cuiaba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1788
Avai · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1572
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cuiaba: balanced profile (how Eduardo Maciel de Barros plays) · Avai: balanced profile (how Allan Rodrigo Aal plays)