Primera A · Clausura - 19
Cucuta vs Jaguares
Thu 12 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio General Santander
Cucuta host Jaguares on Thu 12 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cucuta 52%, draw 26%, Jaguares 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cucuta €252K, Jaguares €177K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cucuta goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cucuta 1523 · Jaguares 1467
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cucuta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1579
Jaguares · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cucuta
19th in Primera A · 16 pts from 19
- 27 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1528
- 24 OctLAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1541
- 20 OctWAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1497
- 11 OctWChico Colombia Primera A1481
- 4 OctWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1477
Jaguares
16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19
- 26 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1416
- 22 OctLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1454
- 17 OctLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1451
- 11 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1415
- 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1443
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 16 /19 | 19.8 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 19th |
| Jaguares | 18 /19 | 21.9 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cucuta: balanced profile (how Nicolas Chiesa plays) · Jaguares: balanced profile (how Julio Mendez plays)