Primera A · Clausura - 5
Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio General Santander, Cucuta
Cucuta host Águilas Doradas on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cucuta 37%, draw 29%, Águilas Doradas 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cucuta €238K, Águilas Doradas €339K.
- Home advantage makes Cucuta the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cucuta goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Cucuta 1520 · Águilas Doradas 1642
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cucuta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1601
Águilas Doradas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1715
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cucuta
19th in Primera A · 16 pts from 19
- 11 OctWChico Colombia Primera A1481
- 4 OctWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1477
- 26 SepWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1457
- 19 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1491
- 14 SepLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1470
Águilas Doradas
12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 18 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1624
- 13 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1630
- 9 OctDAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1618
- 3 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1611
- 28 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1590
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 16 /19 | 22.9 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 19th |
| Águilas Doradas | 26 /19 | 32.9 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cucuta: balanced profile (how Nicolás Hernán Chiesa plays) · Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how Flavio Horacio Robatto plays)