Premier League · Regular Season - 10
CSKA Moscow 3–0 Rodina Moskva
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · VEB Arena, Moscow
CSKA MoscowTeam 1890
Rodina MoskvaTeam 1658Match story
CSKA Moscow · draw · Rodina MoskvaBefore kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Danil Krugovoy 24'
- Ivan Oblyakov 35', 80'
We gave CSKA Moscow 63% to win: they did.
- Danil Krugovoy 2040 +13* assist Ivan Oblyakov 2075 +10*24'
CSKA Moscow:Danil Krugovoy 2040 +13* assist Ivan Oblyakov 2075 +10* - Ivan Oblyakov 2075 +10* assist Ivan Oleynikov 1827 +30*35'
CSKA Moscow:Ivan Oblyakov 2075 +10* assist Ivan Oleynikov 1827 +30* - 45'Kirill Ushatov 1547 −8* for Ruslan Fishchenko 1680 −8*
Rodina Moskva:Kirill Ushatov 1547 −8* for Ruslan Fishchenko 1680 −8* - 45'Leon Musaev 1509 −8* for Brian Mansilla 1501 −9*
Rodina Moskva:Leon Musaev 1509 −8* for Brian Mansilla 1501 −9* - 61'German Onugkha 1615 −10* for Ivan Timoshenko 1669 −8*
Rodina Moskva:German Onugkha 1615 −10* for Ivan Timoshenko 1669 −8* - Kirill Glebov 1898 −4* for Matheus Alves 1832 +3*63'
CSKA Moscow:Kirill Glebov 1898 −4* for Matheus Alves 1832 +3* - Tamerlan Musaev 1933 0* for Luciano Gondou 1984 0*68'
CSKA Moscow:Tamerlan Musaev 1933 0* for Luciano Gondou 1984 0* - 71'Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov 1651 −8* for Soltmurad Bakaev 1645 −8*
Rodina Moskva:Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov 1651 −8* for Soltmurad Bakaev 1645 −8* - Matija Popović 129575'
CSKA Moscow:Matija Popović 1295 - 76'Igor Silva 1934 −22*
Rodina Moskva:Igor Silva 1934 −22* - 79'Deiver Machado 1833 −17*
Rodina Moskva:Deiver Machado 1833 −17* - 80'Kerfala Cissoko 1380 −8* for Artem Maksimenko 1646 −8*
Rodina Moskva:Kerfala Cissoko 1380 −8* for Artem Maksimenko 1646 −8* - Ivan Oblyakov 2075 +10* assist Danil Krugovoy 2040 +13*80'
CSKA Moscow:Ivan Oblyakov 2075 +10* assist Danil Krugovoy 2040 +13* - Danila Kozlov 1776 −6* for Ivan Oleynikov 1827 +30*82'
CSKA Moscow:Danila Kozlov 1776 −6* for Ivan Oleynikov 1827 +30*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%(CSKA Moscow · draw · Rodina Moskva)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: CSKA Moscow €3.4M, Rodina Moskva €820K.
- CSKA Moscow were without 1 expected starter: Matheus Reis (2101).
- Rodina Moskva were without 1 expected starter: Iker Pozo (1653).
- CSKA Moscow were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
CSKA Moscow
5th in Premier Liga · 19 pts from 9
- 17 SepWDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1886
- 12 SepDRubin Russia Premier League1922
- 5 SepWZenit Russia Premier League1895
- 28 AugDAkron Russia Premier League1888
- 22 AugWLokomotiv Russia Premier League1870
Rodina Moskva
15th in Premier Liga · 5 pts from 9
- 16 SepDRubin Russia Premier League1666
- 11 SepLKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1632
- 6 SepLDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1672
- 30 AugLBaltika Russia Premier League1691
- 23 AugLDynamo Russia Premier League1636
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 19 /9 | 52.8 | 4% | 55% | 0% | 5th |
| Rodina Moskva | 5 /9 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 63% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

CSKA Moscow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2095

Rodina Moskva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1731
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.