Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6
CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
CS Sfaxien host ES Tunis on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: CS Sfaxien 25%, draw 27%, ES Tunis 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: CS Sfaxien €367K, ES Tunis €407K.
- Ligue 1: B. Ben Saïd is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1708).
- A. Dahmen, H. Mathlouthi, H. Baccar, K. Mundeko, T. Mutyaba, H. Ouedraogo, Y. Habchia, A. Maâloul and F. Sekkouhi (CS Sfaxien) have not played for over 90 days.
- B. Ben Saïd, C. Jebali, M. Tougai, H. Jelassi, Houssem Teka, M. Haj Ali, F. Danho, J. Diarra, K. Boualia and O. Ogbelu (ES Tunis) have not played for over 90 days.
- CS Sfaxien have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. CS Sfaxien goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: CS Sfaxien 1344 · ES Tunis 1594
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches; CS Sfaxien from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026); ES Tunis from last season's line-ups (latest 7 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ES Tunis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Below) · Elo 1747
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
CS Sfaxien
7th in Ligue 1 · 8 pts from 5
- 3 MayWOlympique Béja Tunisia Ligue 11333
- 5 AprWJS Kairouanaise Tunisia Ligue 11351
- 7 MarWUS Monastirienne Tunisia Ligue 11215
- 1 MarWAS Gabes Tunisia Ligue 11235
- 19 JanWBravos do Maquis FC CAF Confederation Cup1039
ES Tunis
2nd in Ligue 1 · 12 pts from 5
- 18 AprLMamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League1600
- 12 AprLMamelodi Sundowns CAF Champions League1613
- 21 MarWAl Ahly CAF Champions League1529
- 15 MarWAl Ahly CAF Champions League1502
- 7 MarWAS Marsa Tunisia Ligue 11440
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Sfaxien | 8 /5 | 24.6 | 5% | 79% | 0% | 2nd |
| ES Tunis | 12 /5 | 32.8 | 91% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –