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Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham Forest

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Selhurst Park, London

Crystal Palace crestCrystal PalaceTeam 2263
3–1
Full time
HT 2–1
Nottingham Forest crestNottingham ForestTeam 2288

Match story

Crystal Palace · draw · Nottingham Forest

Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%

Live chances: Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Crystal Palace 39%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 32%2' · 0–0 · Crystal Palace 39%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 32%3' · 0–0 · Crystal Palace 39%, draw 29%, Nottingham Forest 32%4' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 22%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 54%5' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 22%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 54%6' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 21%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 54%7' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 21%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 54%8' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 21%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 54%9' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 21%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 54%10' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 21%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%11' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 21%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%12' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 20%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%13' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 20%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%14' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 20%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%15' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 20%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%16' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 20%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 55%17' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 19%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 56%18' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 19%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 56%19' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 19%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 56%20' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 19%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 56%21' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 19%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 56%22' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 18%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 56%23' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 18%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 57%24' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 18%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 57%26' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 18%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 57%27' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 17%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 57%28' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 17%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 57%30' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 17%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 58%31' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 17%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 58%32' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 16%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 58%33' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 16%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 58%34' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 16%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 59%36' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 15%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 59%38' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 15%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 60%40' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 14%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 60%41' · 0–1 · Crystal Palace 14%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 60%42' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 34%, draw 37%, Nottingham Forest 29%43' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 34%, draw 38%, Nottingham Forest 29%44' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 34%, draw 38%, Nottingham Forest 28%45' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 33%, draw 38%, Nottingham Forest 28%45+1' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 33%, draw 39%, Nottingham Forest 28%45+2' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 33%, draw 39%, Nottingham Forest 28%45+3' · 1–1 · Crystal Palace 33%, draw 40%, Nottingham Forest 28%45+4' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 71%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 8%45+5' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 71%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 8%45+6' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 71%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 8%45+7' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 71%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 8%HT · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 71%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 8%46' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 71%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 8%47' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 72%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 7%48' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 72%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 7%49' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 72%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 7%50' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 72%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 7%51' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 72%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 7%52' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 73%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 7%53' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 73%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 6%54' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 73%, draw 21%, Nottingham Forest 6%55' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 74%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest 6%56' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 74%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest 6%57' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 74%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest 6%58' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 74%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest 5%59' · 2–1 · Crystal Palace 75%, draw 20%, Nottingham Forest 5%60' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 96%, draw 4%, Nottingham Forest 1%61' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 96%, draw 4%, Nottingham Forest 1%62' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 96%, draw 4%, Nottingham Forest 1%63' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 96%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%64' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 96%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%65' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 96%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%66' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%67' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%68' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%69' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%70' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 3%, Nottingham Forest 0%71' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%72' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 97%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%73' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%74' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%75' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%76' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%77' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%78' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 2%, Nottingham Forest 0%79' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 98%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%80' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%81' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%82' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%83' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%84' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%85' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%86' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%87' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 1%, Nottingham Forest 0%88' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 99%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%89' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%90' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%90+1' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%90+2' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%90+3' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%90+4' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%90+5' · 3–1 · Crystal Palace 100%, draw 0%, Nottingham Forest 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Crystal Palace 39% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Nottingham Forest:Dan Ndoye 2429 −13
  2. 16'Crystal Palace:Jefferson Lerma 2241 0*
  3. 41'Crystal Palace:Daichi Kamada 2266 +28* assist Quinten Timber 2213 +16
  4. 45+4'Crystal Palace:Jefferson Lerma 2241 0* assist Adam Wharton 2307 +24*
  5. 59'Crystal Palace:Yeremy Pino 2322 +28
  6. 60'Crystal Palace:Yeremy Pino 2322 +28
  7. 66'Nottingham Forest:Ibrahim Sangaré 2259 −10* for Xaver Schlager 2287 −5
  8. 72'Nottingham Forest:Callum Hudson-Odoi 2250 −8* for Dan Ndoye 2429 −13
  9. 72'Nottingham Forest:Chris Wood 2075 −14* for Liam Delap 2155 −8*
  10. 72'Crystal Palace:Honest Ahanor 2137 −4* for Jefferson Lerma 2241 0*
  11. 73'Nottingham Forest:Ola Aina 2322 −17*
  12. 83'Crystal Palace:Ismaila Sarr 2290 −8* for Yeremy Pino 2322 +28
  13. 83'Crystal Palace:Eddie Nketiah 2269 −7* for Jörgen Strand Larsen 2178 +17
  14. 83'Nottingham Forest:Arnaud Kalimuendo 2067 −8* for Ola Aina 2322 −17*
  15. 90'Crystal Palace:Dwight McNeil 2211 −8* for Daichi Kamada 2266 +28*
  16. 90+5'Nottingham Forest:Murillo Santiago 2287 −13*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations3-4-2-1
GW. Benítez2195+8*
DC. Richards2320+22*
DJ. Lerma22410*
DJ. Canvot2223+37*
MA. Khalaili2220+16
MQ. Timber2213+16
MA. Wharton2307+24*
MT. Mitchell2310+3*
MD. Kamada2266+28*
MYeremy Pino2322+28
FJ. Strand Larsen2178+17
CP. Sage2273+17*
GM. Sels2286−16*
DO. Aina2322−17*
DO. Diomande2344−17*
DMurillo2287−13*
MD. Muñoz2304−17*
MJ. McAtee2108−8*
MX. Schlager2287−5
MN. Williams2291−16
MD. Ndoye2429−13
MM. Gibbs-White2306−7
FL. Delap2155−8*
CO. Glasner2237−10*
Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%(Crystal Palace · draw · Nottingham Forest)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–1 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Crystal Palace €23.1M, Nottingham Forest €22.5M.
  • Crystal Palace were without 2 expected starters: D. Henderson (2335) and T. Tomiyasu (2232).
  • Home advantage made Crystal Palace the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Crystal Palace

15th in Premier League · 4 pts from 5

  • 20 SepDLeeds 2240
  • 17 SepWLech Poznan 2237
  • 12 SepLIpswich 2244
  • 8 SepWMiddlesbrough 2176
  • 5 SepWFulham 2251

Nottingham Forest

13th in Premier League · 5 pts from 5

  • 19 SepLCoventry 2280
  • 12 SepWAston Villa 2278
  • 5 SepDTottenham 2265
  • 29 AugDLiverpool 2278
  • 25 AugLLeeds 2261

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Crystal Palace4 /545.20%1%13%15th
Nottingham Forest5 /548.00%3%7%13th
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Wharton
A. Wharton

Crystal Palace · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2283

M. Gibbs-White
M. Gibbs-White

Nottingham Forest · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2313

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Pierre Sage

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Oliver Glasner

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Crystal Palace: balanced profile (how Pierre Sage plays) · Nottingham Forest: balanced profile (how Oliver Glasner plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.