Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Selhurst Park, London
Crystal Palace host Newcastle on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crystal Palace 36%, draw 29%, Newcastle 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crystal Palace €25.3M, Newcastle €29.1M.
- Home advantage makes Crystal Palace the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crystal Palace goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.6 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Crystal Palace 2236 · Newcastle 2303
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crystal Palace · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2264
Newcastle · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2397
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crystal Palace
14th in Premier League · 7 pts from 7
- 18 OctLBrighton Premier League2240
- 15 OctLLyon UEFA Europa League2267
- 11 OctWNottingham Forest Premier League2238
- 20 SepDLeeds Premier League2240
- 17 SepWLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2237
Newcastle
11th in Premier League · 8 pts from 7
- 17 OctLAston Villa Premier League2358
- 12 OctLCoventry Premier League2368
- 19 SepWHull City Premier League2288
- 14 SepLLeeds Premier League2350
- 8 SepWMillwall England League Cup2349
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 7 /7 | 45.1 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 13th |
| Newcastle | 8 /7 | 49.5 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crystal Palace: balanced profile (how Pierre Sage plays) · Newcastle: balanced profile (how Matthias Jaissle plays)