Liga MX · Apertura - 15
Cruz Azul vs Leon
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Cruz Azul host Leon on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cruz Azul 61%, draw 23%, Leon 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cruz Azul €5.8M, Leon €1.9M.
- Liga MX: W. Ditta is the highest-rated defender (2226).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cruz Azul goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Cruz Azul 2103 · Leon 1917
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cruz Azul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2254
Leon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1991
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cruz Azul
5th in Liga MX · 20 pts from 12
- 18 OctWFC Juarez Liga MX2014
- 12 OctDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX2143
- 26 SepDToluca Liga MX2132
- 20 SepLMonterrey Liga MX2207
- 13 SepWClub America Liga MX2140
Leon
7th in Liga MX · 18 pts from 12
- 18 OctLClub America Liga MX1927
- 10 OctDPuebla Liga MX1923
- 28 SepWFC Juarez Liga MX1911
- 21 SepDClub Queretaro Liga MX1963
- 15 SepWAtletico San Luis Liga MX1932
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 20 /12 | 28.1 | 4% | 48% | 0% | 4th |
| Leon | 18 /12 | 23.5 | <1% | 5% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cruz Azul: balanced profile (how Joel Huiqui plays) · Leon: balanced profile (how Javier Marcelo Gandolfi plays)