Liga MX · Apertura - 12
Cruz Azul 5–0 FC Juarez
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 03:10 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Cruz AzulTeam 1987FC JuarezTeam 1716- Andrés Montaño 4'
- Carlos Rodriguez 23'
- Omar Campos 45+3'
- Agustín Palavecino 55'
- Rogelio Gonzalez 75'
We gave Cruz Azul 67% to win: they did.
- Andrés Montaño 1928 +33 assist Agustín Palavecino 2185 +114'Cruz Azul:Andrés Montaño 1928 +33 assist Agustín Palavecino 2185 +11
- Carlos Rodriguez 2221 +6 assist Alan Mozo 1939 +1723'Cruz Azul:Carlos Rodriguez 2221 +6 assist Alan Mozo 1939 +17
- 28'Francisco Nevarez 1724 0FC Juarez:Francisco Nevarez 1724 0
- 45'Guilherme Castilho 1889 −14* for Eder Lopez 1542 0FC Juarez:Guilherme Castilho 1889 −14* for Eder Lopez 1542 0
- 45'Madson de Souza Silva 1876 −6 for Ricardo Oliveira 1742 −1FC Juarez:Madson de Souza Silva 1876 −6 for Ricardo Oliveira 1742 −1
- Rogelio Gonzalez 1705 +21* for Alan Mozo 1939 +1745'Cruz Azul:Rogelio Gonzalez 1705 +21* for Alan Mozo 1939 +17
- Luka Romero 1918 +20 for Carlos Rodriguez 2221 +645'Cruz Azul:Luka Romero 1918 +20 for Carlos Rodriguez 2221 +6
- Omar Campos 2215 +17 assist Andrés Montaño 1928 +3345+3'Cruz Azul:Omar Campos 2215 +17 assist Andrés Montaño 1928 +33
- 51'Guilherme Castilho 1889 −14*FC Juarez:Guilherme Castilho 1889 −14*
- 51'Madson de Souza Silva 1876 −6FC Juarez:Madson de Souza Silva 1876 −6
- Agustín Palavecino 2185 +1155'Cruz Azul:Agustín Palavecino 2185 +11
- Ariel Castro 1633 +13* for Agustín Palavecino 2185 +1161'Cruz Azul:Ariel Castro 1633 +13* for Agustín Palavecino 2185 +11
- Gabriel Fernández 2049 0 for Nicolás Ibañez 1960 +661'Cruz Azul:Gabriel Fernández 2049 0 for Nicolás Ibañez 1960 +6
- 72'Luca Dupuy 1648 0 for José Luis Rodríguez 1856 −9FC Juarez:Luca Dupuy 1648 0 for José Luis Rodríguez 1856 −9
- Osinachi Ebere 1616 +3 for Andrés Montaño 1928 +3374'Cruz Azul:Osinachi Ebere 1616 +3 for Andrés Montaño 1928 +33
- Rogelio Gonzalez 1705 +21*75'Cruz Azul:Rogelio Gonzalez 1705 +21*
- 77'Brayan Adrián Molina Hernández 1551 −8* for Oscar Estupiñan 1841 −9FC Juarez:Brayan Adrián Molina Hernández 1551 −8* for Oscar Estupiñan 1841 −9
- 80'Juan Sigala 1642 −8* for Denzell Garcia 1866 −9FC Juarez:Juan Sigala 1642 −8* for Denzell Garcia 1866 −9
- Gabriel Fernández 2049 089'Cruz Azul:Gabriel Fernández 2049 0
- 89'Gilberto Sepulveda 1884 −12FC Juarez:Gilberto Sepulveda 1884 −12
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%(Cruz Azul · draw · FC Juarez)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 5–0 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Cruz Azul €4.2M, FC Juarez €1.6M.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the Liga MX average of 26% this round.
- Liga MX: W. Ditta was the highest-rated defender (2226).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cruz Azul
7th in Liga MX · 17 pts from 11
- 12 OctDU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX2143
- 26 SepDToluca Liga MX2132
- 20 SepLMonterrey Liga MX2207
- 13 SepWClub America Liga MX2140
- 6 SepWSantos Laguna Liga MX2053
FC Juarez
18th in Liga MX · 4 pts from 11
- 10 OctDClub Tijuana Liga MX1786
- 28 SepLLeon Liga MX1787
- 19 SepWTigres UANL Liga MX1801
- 14 SepLSantos Laguna Liga MX1835
- 5 SepLCF Pachuca Liga MX1841
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 17 /11 | 27.2 | 4% | 32% | <1% | 5th |
| FC Juarez | 4 /11 | 11.9 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cruz Azul · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2241
FC Juarez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1749
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cruz Azul: balanced profile (how Joel Huiqui plays) · FC Juarez: balanced profile (how Tomás Alberto Campos Alejandre plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.