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Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma

Criciuma crestCriciumaTeam 1649
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
America Mineiro crestAmerica MineiroTeam 1417

Match story

Criciuma · draw · America Mineiro

Before kick-off: 65% · 22% · 13%

Live chances: Criciuma 100%, draw 0%, America Mineiro 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Criciuma 64%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 13%2' · 0–0 · Criciuma 64%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 14%3' · 0–0 · Criciuma 64%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 14%4' · 0–0 · Criciuma 64%, draw 22%, America Mineiro 14%5' · 0–0 · Criciuma 64%, draw 23%, America Mineiro 14%6' · 0–0 · Criciuma 63%, draw 23%, America Mineiro 14%7' · 0–0 · Criciuma 63%, draw 23%, America Mineiro 14%8' · 0–0 · Criciuma 63%, draw 23%, America Mineiro 14%9' · 0–0 · Criciuma 63%, draw 23%, America Mineiro 14%10' · 0–0 · Criciuma 62%, draw 24%, America Mineiro 14%11' · 0–0 · Criciuma 62%, draw 24%, America Mineiro 14%12' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 11%, America Mineiro 4%13' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 11%, America Mineiro 4%14' · 0–0 · Criciuma 61%, draw 24%, America Mineiro 14%15' · 0–0 · Criciuma 61%, draw 25%, America Mineiro 14%16' · 0–0 · Criciuma 61%, draw 25%, America Mineiro 14%17' · 0–0 · Criciuma 61%, draw 25%, America Mineiro 14%18' · 0–0 · Criciuma 60%, draw 25%, America Mineiro 14%19' · 0–0 · Criciuma 60%, draw 25%, America Mineiro 14%20' · 0–0 · Criciuma 60%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 15%21' · 0–0 · Criciuma 59%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 15%22' · 0–0 · Criciuma 59%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 15%23' · 0–0 · Criciuma 59%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 15%24' · 0–0 · Criciuma 59%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 15%25' · 0–0 · Criciuma 58%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 15%26' · 0–0 · Criciuma 58%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 15%27' · 0–0 · Criciuma 58%, draw 27%, America Mineiro 15%28' · 0–0 · Criciuma 57%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 15%29' · 0–0 · Criciuma 57%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 15%30' · 0–0 · Criciuma 57%, draw 28%, America Mineiro 15%31' · 0–0 · Criciuma 56%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 15%32' · 0–0 · Criciuma 56%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 15%33' · 0–0 · Criciuma 56%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 15%34' · 0–0 · Criciuma 55%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 15%35' · 0–0 · Criciuma 55%, draw 30%, America Mineiro 15%36' · 0–0 · Criciuma 55%, draw 30%, America Mineiro 15%37' · 0–0 · Criciuma 54%, draw 30%, America Mineiro 15%38' · 0–0 · Criciuma 54%, draw 31%, America Mineiro 15%39' · 0–0 · Criciuma 53%, draw 31%, America Mineiro 15%40' · 0–0 · Criciuma 53%, draw 32%, America Mineiro 15%41' · 0–0 · Criciuma 53%, draw 32%, America Mineiro 15%42' · 0–0 · Criciuma 52%, draw 32%, America Mineiro 15%43' · 0–0 · Criciuma 52%, draw 33%, America Mineiro 15%44' · 0–0 · Criciuma 51%, draw 33%, America Mineiro 15%45' · 0–0 · Criciuma 51%, draw 33%, America Mineiro 15%45+1' · 0–0 · Criciuma 51%, draw 34%, America Mineiro 16%45+2' · 0–0 · Criciuma 50%, draw 34%, America Mineiro 16%45+3' · 0–0 · Criciuma 50%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 16%45+4' · 0–0 · Criciuma 49%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 16%45+5' · 0–0 · Criciuma 49%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 16%45+6' · 0–0 · Criciuma 49%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 16%HT · 0–0 · Criciuma 49%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 16%46' · 0–0 · Criciuma 49%, draw 35%, America Mineiro 16%47' · 0–0 · Criciuma 49%, draw 36%, America Mineiro 16%48' · 0–0 · Criciuma 48%, draw 36%, America Mineiro 16%49' · 0–0 · Criciuma 48%, draw 37%, America Mineiro 16%50' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%51' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%52' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%53' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%54' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%55' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%56' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 3%57' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%58' · 1–0 · Criciuma 84%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%59' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%60' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%61' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%62' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%63' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%64' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%65' · 1–0 · Criciuma 85%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%67' · 1–0 · Criciuma 86%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%68' · 1–0 · Criciuma 86%, draw 13%, America Mineiro 2%70' · 1–0 · Criciuma 86%, draw 12%, America Mineiro 2%71' · 1–0 · Criciuma 86%, draw 12%, America Mineiro 2%73' · 1–0 · Criciuma 87%, draw 12%, America Mineiro 1%74' · 1–0 · Criciuma 87%, draw 12%, America Mineiro 1%75' · 1–0 · Criciuma 87%, draw 11%, America Mineiro 1%76' · 1–0 · Criciuma 88%, draw 11%, America Mineiro 1%77' · 1–0 · Criciuma 88%, draw 11%, America Mineiro 1%79' · 1–0 · Criciuma 89%, draw 10%, America Mineiro 1%80' · 1–0 · Criciuma 89%, draw 10%, America Mineiro 1%81' · 1–0 · Criciuma 89%, draw 10%, America Mineiro 1%82' · 1–0 · Criciuma 90%, draw 9%, America Mineiro 1%84' · 1–0 · Criciuma 91%, draw 9%, America Mineiro 1%85' · 1–0 · Criciuma 91%, draw 8%, America Mineiro 0%86' · 1–0 · Criciuma 92%, draw 8%, America Mineiro 0%88' · 1–0 · Criciuma 93%, draw 7%, America Mineiro 0%89' · 1–0 · Criciuma 93%, draw 6%, America Mineiro 0%90' · 1–0 · Criciuma 94%, draw 6%, America Mineiro 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Criciuma 95%, draw 5%, America Mineiro 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Criciuma 96%, draw 4%, America Mineiro 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Criciuma 97%, draw 3%, America Mineiro 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Criciuma 97%, draw 2%, America Mineiro 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Criciuma 98%, draw 2%, America Mineiro 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Criciuma 99%, draw 1%, America Mineiro 0%90+7' · 1–0 · Criciuma 100%, draw 0%, America Mineiro 0%90+8' · 1–0 · Criciuma 100%, draw 0%, America Mineiro 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Criciuma 65% to win: they did.

  1. 12'America Mineiro:Rafael Raul Barcelos 1455 0
  2. 17'America Mineiro:Luidy Montes Carneiro 1333 0
  3. 41'Criciuma:Marcelo Hermes 1742 +3
  4. 45'Criciuma:Rómulo Otero 1704 +4 for Waguininho 1537 −2
  5. 49'Criciuma:César Martins 1691 +9* assist Rómulo Otero 1704 +4
  6. 58'America Mineiro:Guilherme Parede 1584 −5 for Luidy Montes Carneiro 1333 0
  7. 70'Criciuma:Jean 1570 −1 for Guilherme Teixeira Lobo 1781 +11
  8. 70'Criciuma:Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva 1711 +6
  9. 76'Criciuma:Diego Gonçalves 1655 −10* for Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva 1711 +6
  10. 76'Criciuma:Yuri Jonathan 1599 +4 for Nicolas Godinho Johann 1461 +4
  11. 77'America Mineiro:Fernando Elizari 1315 −16* for Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus 1494 −2
  12. 84'Criciuma:Eduardo Biasi 1634 −1 for Fellipe Mateus 1620 +2
  13. 87'Criciuma:Eduardo Biasi 1634 −1
  14. 89'America Mineiro:Julio César Leme Do Nascimento 1388 0 for Matías Segovia 1487 −2
  15. 89'America Mineiro:Otavio Goncalves for Jorge Jiménez 1453 −16*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-2-3-1
GBruno Brígido1475−13*
DRafael Barcelos14550
DRicardo Silva1541−12
DL. Sosa1551−9
DT. Ostchega1564−7
MBarreto1544−8
MJ. Jiménez1453−16*
MPaulo Victor1494−2
MM. Segovia1487−2
ML. Montes13330
FWillian1172−14
CMoacir Júnior1462−9*
Before kick-off: 65% · 22% · 13%(Criciuma · draw · America Mineiro)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (12%); the result 1–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Criciuma €422K, America Mineiro €223K.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Serie B): Criciuma ranked #2 of 24, America Mineiro #22.
  • America Mineiro's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.4 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of Criciuma's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Criciuma

5th in Serie B · 53 pts from 32

  • 8 OctLCeara 1690
  • 2 OctWLondrina 1668
  • 27 SepWAvai 1646
  • 22 SepLOperario-PR 1668
  • 13 SepLAtletico Goianiense 1709

America Mineiro

19th in Serie B · 17 pts from 32

  • 7 OctLFortaleza EC 1442
  • 3 OctLAtletico Goianiense 1422
  • 28 SepLJuventude 1453
  • 18 SepLVila Nova 1468
  • 14 SepLSão Bernardo 1473

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Criciuma53 /3262.01%24%0%5th
America Mineiro17 /3223.10%0%100%19th
Criciuma
America Mineiro

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Airton
Airton

Criciuma · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1741

M. Segovia
M. Segovia

America Mineiro · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1489

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Criciuma: balanced profile · America Mineiro: possession-based (how Louzer Umberto plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.