League Two · Regular Season - 14
Crewe vs Barnet
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Crewe host Barnet on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crewe 41%, draw 29%, Barnet 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crewe €329K, Barnet €302K.
- Crewe are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Barnet are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crewe goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Crewe 1725 · Barnet 1724
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crewe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1826
Barnet · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1870
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crewe
3rd in League Two · 21 pts from 11
- 17 OctWRochdale England League Two1725
- 10 OctWSwindon Town England League Two1690
- 6 OctDBlackpool England EFL Trophy1568
- 3 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1647
- 26 SepDRotherham England League Two1654
Barnet
2nd in League Two · 21 pts from 9
- 17 OctWTranmere England League Two1747
- 10 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1704
- 6 OctDAFC Wimbledon England EFL Trophy1544
- 19 SepWFleetwood Town England League Two1695
- 12 SepWAccrington ST England League Two1678
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 21 /11 | 75.8 | 13% | 68% | 0% | 2nd |
| Barnet | 21 /9 | 76.1 | 14% | 71% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crewe: balanced profile (how Lee Bell plays) · Barnet: balanced profile (how Dean Brennan plays)