FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
Crewe host AFC Wimbledon on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crewe 47%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crewe €350K, AFC Wimbledon €307K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crewe goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Crewe 1718 · AFC Wimbledon 1680
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crewe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1808
AFC Wimbledon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1684
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crewe
4th in League Two · 21 pts from 13
- 24 OctLChesterfield England League Two1744
- 20 OctLExeter City England League Two1745
- 17 OctWRochdale England League Two1725
- 10 OctWSwindon Town England League Two1690
- 6 OctDBlackpool England EFL Trophy1568
AFC Wimbledon
17th in League One · 13 pts from 12
- 27 OctLArsenal U21 England EFL Trophy1614
- 24 OctDWycombe England League One1684
- 20 OctLMansfield Town England League One1657
- 17 OctLSheffield Wednesday England League One1711
- 10 OctLPlymouth England League One1716
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crewe: balanced profile (how Lee Bell plays) · AFC Wimbledon: balanced profile (how Johnnie Jackson plays)