Serie B · Regular Season - 13
Cremonese vs Avellino
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Cremonese host Avellino on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cremonese 50%, draw 27%, Avellino 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cremonese €2.0M, Avellino €1.1M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Serie B): Cremonese rank #2 of 20, Avellino #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cremonese goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Cremonese 1842 · Avellino 1753
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cremonese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1925
Avellino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1731
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cremonese
9th in Serie B · 15 pts from 11
- 8 NovWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1826
- 31 OctWBenevento Italy Serie B1800
- 27 OctWMantova Italy Serie B1810
- 24 OctLJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1783
- 17 OctLPisa Italy Serie B1785
Avellino
5th in Serie B · 16 pts from 11
- 7 NovDBenevento Italy Serie B1781
- 1 NovWPisa Italy Serie B1751
- 27 OctDVirtus Entella Italy Serie B1686
- 24 OctLPadova Italy Serie B1752
- 18 OctDCesena Italy Serie B1777
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cremonese | 15 /11 | 59.8 | 1% | 42% | <1% | 3rd |
| Avellino | 16 /11 | 55.8 | <1% | 20% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cremonese: balanced profile (how Fabio Pecchia plays) · Avellino: balanced profile (how Alessandro Nesta plays)