Serie B · Regular Season - 38
CRB vs Ceara
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio
CRB host Ceara on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: CRB 48%, draw 27%, Ceara 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: CRB €427K, Ceara €486K.
- Style contrast in possession (Serie B): CRB rank #3 of 23, Ceara #21.
- CRB's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. CRB goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: CRB 1687 · Ceara 1668
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
CRB · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.9 (Elite) · Elo 1721
Ceara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1525
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
CRB
6th in Serie B · 55 pts from 35
- 24 OctWLondrina Brazil Serie B1671
- 18 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1717
- 12 OctDFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1713
- 7 OctWAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1690
- 2 OctLSão Bernardo Brazil Serie B1705
Ceara
16th in Serie B · 43 pts from 35
- 27 OctLGoias Brazil Serie B1686
- 17 OctDJuventude Brazil Serie B1681
- 13 OctLBotafogo SP Brazil Serie B1704
- 8 OctWCriciuma Brazil Serie B1650
- 3 OctWAvai Brazil Serie B1629
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | 55 /35 | 59.2 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6th |
| Ceara | 43 /35 | 47.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
CRB: balanced profile (how Fábio Matias plays) · Ceara: direct (how Daniel Paulista plays)