League Two · Regular Season - 13
Crawley Town vs Tranmere
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · The Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Crawley Town host Tranmere on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crawley Town 39%, draw 29%, Tranmere 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crawley Town €174K, Tranmere €202K.
- Home advantage makes Crawley Town the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crawley Town goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Crawley Town 1545 · Tranmere 1572
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crawley Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1386
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1650
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crawley Town
24th in League Two · 5 pts from 9
- 17 OctLSalford City England League Two1534
- 10 OctDChesterfield England League Two1566
- 6 OctWBromley England EFL Trophy1650
- 22 SepLMilton Keynes Dons England EFL Trophy1384
- 19 SepLGrimsby England League Two1526
Tranmere
17th in League Two · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctLBarnet England League Two1540
- 10 OctDRochdale England League Two1552
- 3 OctLChesterfield England League Two1572
- 26 SepDWalsall England League Two1574
- 22 SepWShrewsbury England EFL Trophy1543
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 5 /9 | 46.8 | 0% | 0% | 63% | 24th |
| Tranmere | 12 /11 | 54.8 | 0% | 1% | 23% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crawley Town: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Colin Kazim-Richards plays) · Tranmere: balanced profile (how D. Clarke plays)