League Two · Regular Season - 12
Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Crawley Town host Shrewsbury on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Crawley Town 35%, draw 29%, Shrewsbury 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crawley Town €156K, Shrewsbury €182K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (League Two): Crawley Town rank #2 of 24, Shrewsbury #23.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Crawley Town goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Crawley Town 1544 · Shrewsbury 1621
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crawley Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1386
Shrewsbury · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1730
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crawley Town
24th in League Two · 5 pts from 9
- 17 OctLSalford City England League Two1534
- 10 OctDChesterfield England League Two1566
- 6 OctWBromley England EFL Trophy1650
- 22 SepLMilton Keynes Dons England EFL Trophy1384
- 19 SepLGrimsby England League Two1526
Shrewsbury
14th in League Two · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1619
- 10 OctLExeter City England League Two1608
- 3 OctWGrimsby England League Two1578
- 26 SepDColchester England League Two1543
- 22 SepLTranmere England EFL Trophy1476
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 5 /9 | 46.7 | 0% | <1% | 64% | 24th |
| Shrewsbury | 14 /11 | 61.3 | <1% | 7% | 6% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crawley Town: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Colin Kazim-Richards plays) · Shrewsbury: direct (how Gavin Patrick Cowan plays)