League Two · Regular Season - 10
Crawley Town 2–2 Chesterfield
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Broadfield Stadium, Crawley
Crawley TownTeam 1533ChesterfieldTeam 1715- Gianmarco biase di 61' (pen)
- Gianmarco biase di 66'
- Lee Bonis 23'
- Louie Marsh 56'
We gave Chesterfield 44% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 23'Lee Bonis – assist Lewis Gordon –Chesterfield:Lee Bonis – assist Lewis Gordon –
- Nathan Tinsdale – for Akinwale Joseph Odimayo –40'Crawley Town:Nathan Tinsdale – for Akinwale Joseph Odimayo –
- Kai Jennings –44'Crawley Town:Kai Jennings –
- 56'Louie Marsh –Chesterfield:Louie Marsh –
- Gianmarco biase di – for Danilo Orsi –59'Crawley Town:Gianmarco biase di – for Danilo Orsi –
- Osman kamara – for Stephen·Duke-Mckenna –60'Crawley Town:Osman kamara – for Stephen·Duke-Mckenna –
- Gianmarco biase di – (pen.)61'Crawley Town:Gianmarco biase di – (pen.)
- 64'Josh Koroma – for Joel Randall –Chesterfield:Josh Koroma – for Joel Randall –
- 65'Josh Koroma –Chesterfield:Josh Koroma –
- Gianmarco biase di – assist Dylan Morgan66'Crawley Town:Gianmarco biase di – assist Dylan Morgan
- Jonathan Russell – for Charlie Barker –76'Crawley Town:Jonathan Russell – for Charlie Barker –
- Kellan Gordon – for Lewis Richards –76'Crawley Town:Kellan Gordon – for Lewis Richards –
- 80'Louie Marsh –Chesterfield:Louie Marsh –
- Gianmarco biase di –83'Crawley Town:Gianmarco biase di –
- 86'Liam Mandeville – for Louie Marsh –Chesterfield:Liam Mandeville – for Louie Marsh –
- 87'Will Grigg – for George McEachran –Chesterfield:Will Grigg – for George McEachran –
- 87'Kiano Dyer – for Dilan Markanday –Chesterfield:Kiano Dyer – for Dilan Markanday –
- 90'Dilan Markanday –Chesterfield:Dilan Markanday –
- 90+4'Lewis Gordon –Chesterfield:Lewis Gordon –
- Jonathan Russell –90+4'Crawley Town:Jonathan Russell –
Before kick-off (provisional): 27% · 28% · 44%(Crawley Town · draw · Chesterfield)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Crawley Town €232K, Chesterfield €336K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Crawley Town
24th in League Two · 4 pts from 7
- 6 OctWBromley England EFL Trophy1650
- 22 SepLMilton Keynes Dons England EFL Trophy1384
- 19 SepLGrimsby England League Two1526
- 12 SepLCheltenham England League Two1593
- 5 SepLAccrington ST England League Two1514
Chesterfield
8th in League Two · 14 pts from 9
- 3 OctWTranmere England League Two1756
- 26 SepLCheltenham England League Two1766
- 22 SepDPort Vale England EFL Trophy1566
- 19 SepWYork England League Two1745
- 15 SepWManchester City U21 England EFL Trophy1505
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 4 /7 | 47.8 | 0% | 0% | 57% | 24th |
| Chesterfield | 14 /9 | 72.9 | 11% | 53% | <1% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Crawley Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1622
Chesterfield · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1798
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Crawley Town: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Colin Kazim-Richards plays) · Chesterfield: possession-based · low-block (how Paul Anthony Cook plays)