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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Legia Warszawa

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Marshal Józef Piłsudski Stadium, Krakow

Cracovia Krakow crestCracovia KrakowTeam 1682
1–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Legia Warszawa crestLegia WarszawaTeam 1828

Match story

Cracovia Krakow · draw · Legia Warszawa

Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%

Live chances: Cracovia Krakow 5%, draw 89%, Legia Warszawa 6% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 29%, Legia Warszawa 39%3' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 29%, Legia Warszawa 39%4' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 39%5' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 39%6' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 39%7' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 39%8' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 32%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 38%9' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 38%10' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 38%11' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 30%, Legia Warszawa 38%12' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%13' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%14' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%15' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%16' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%17' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%18' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 31%, Legia Warszawa 38%19' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 32%, Legia Warszawa 37%20' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 32%, Legia Warszawa 37%21' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 32%, Legia Warszawa 37%22' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 32%, Legia Warszawa 37%23' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 32%, Legia Warszawa 37%24' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 32%, Legia Warszawa 37%25' · 0–0 · Cracovia Krakow 31%, draw 33%, Legia Warszawa 37%26' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 15%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 61%27' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 15%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 61%28' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 61%29' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 61%30' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%31' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%32' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%33' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%34' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%35' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 13%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%36' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 13%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 62%37' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 13%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 63%38' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 13%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 63%39' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 13%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 63%40' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 12%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 63%41' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 12%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 63%42' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 12%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 63%43' · 0–1 · Cracovia Krakow 12%, draw 24%, Legia Warszawa 64%44' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 29%, draw 37%, Legia Warszawa 34%45' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 29%, draw 37%, Legia Warszawa 34%45+1' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 29%, draw 38%, Legia Warszawa 34%HT · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 28%, draw 39%, Legia Warszawa 33%46' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 28%, draw 39%, Legia Warszawa 33%47' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 28%, draw 39%, Legia Warszawa 33%48' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 28%, draw 39%, Legia Warszawa 33%49' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 28%, draw 40%, Legia Warszawa 32%50' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 28%, draw 40%, Legia Warszawa 32%51' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 27%, draw 41%, Legia Warszawa 32%52' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 27%, draw 41%, Legia Warszawa 32%53' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 27%, draw 42%, Legia Warszawa 31%54' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 27%, draw 42%, Legia Warszawa 31%55' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 27%, draw 43%, Legia Warszawa 31%56' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 26%, draw 44%, Legia Warszawa 30%57' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 26%, draw 44%, Legia Warszawa 30%58' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 26%, draw 45%, Legia Warszawa 29%59' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 25%, draw 45%, Legia Warszawa 29%60' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 25%, draw 46%, Legia Warszawa 29%61' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 25%, draw 47%, Legia Warszawa 28%62' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 25%, draw 47%, Legia Warszawa 28%63' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 24%, draw 48%, Legia Warszawa 28%64' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 24%, draw 49%, Legia Warszawa 27%65' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 24%, draw 50%, Legia Warszawa 27%66' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 23%, draw 50%, Legia Warszawa 26%67' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 23%, draw 51%, Legia Warszawa 26%68' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 23%, draw 52%, Legia Warszawa 26%69' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 22%, draw 53%, Legia Warszawa 25%70' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 22%, draw 54%, Legia Warszawa 25%71' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 21%, draw 55%, Legia Warszawa 24%72' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 21%, draw 55%, Legia Warszawa 24%73' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 20%, draw 56%, Legia Warszawa 23%74' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 20%, draw 57%, Legia Warszawa 23%75' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 20%, draw 58%, Legia Warszawa 22%76' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 19%, draw 60%, Legia Warszawa 21%77' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 18%, draw 61%, Legia Warszawa 21%78' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 18%, draw 62%, Legia Warszawa 20%79' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 17%, draw 63%, Legia Warszawa 19%80' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 17%, draw 65%, Legia Warszawa 19%81' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 16%, draw 66%, Legia Warszawa 18%82' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 15%, draw 67%, Legia Warszawa 17%83' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 15%, draw 69%, Legia Warszawa 16%84' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 14%, draw 70%, Legia Warszawa 16%85' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 13%, draw 72%, Legia Warszawa 15%86' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 12%, draw 74%, Legia Warszawa 14%87' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 12%, draw 75%, Legia Warszawa 13%88' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 11%, draw 77%, Legia Warszawa 12%89' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 10%, draw 80%, Legia Warszawa 11%90' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 9%, draw 82%, Legia Warszawa 10%90+1' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 8%, draw 84%, Legia Warszawa 8%90+2' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 6%, draw 87%, Legia Warszawa 7%90+3' · 1–1 · Cracovia Krakow 5%, draw 89%, Legia Warszawa 6%

Last reading, 90+3': 5% · 89% · 6%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Legia Warszawa 39% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 26'Legia Warszawa:Michal Sevcik 1687 0 assist Paweł Wszołek 1856 −7
  2. 39'Legia Warszawa:Paweł Wszołek 1856 −7
  3. 40'Cracovia Krakow:Vincent Burlet 1748 0
  4. 44'Cracovia Krakow:Lasse Selvåg Nordås 1791 0 assist Gustav Henriksson 1744 −1
  5. 45'Legia Warszawa:Arkadiusz Reca 1657 −3 for Paweł Wszołek 1856 −7
  6. 65'Legia Warszawa:Bogdan V'Yunnik for Michal Sevcik 1687 0
  7. 74'Cracovia Krakow:Mohamed Berte 1593 0 for Mateusz Klich 1567 −9
  8. 82'Legia Warszawa:Jan Kuchta 1930 −9* for Lukasz Zjawinski 1540 0
  9. 82'Legia Warszawa:Zoran Arsenić 1702 −11* for Robert Deziel 1766 0
  10. 85'Cracovia Krakow:Kahveh Zahiroleslam 1651 −8* for Martin Minchev 1769 0
  11. 88'Legia Warszawa:Damian Szymański 1828 −3 for Bartosz Kapustka 1904 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-3
GS. Madejski17400
DO. Kakabadze1785−3
DG. Henriksson1744−1
DB. Traoré17070
DV. Burlet17480
MK. Knap16110
MAmir Al Ammari1720−2
MA. Hasić17670
MM. Klich1567−9
MM. Minchev17690
FL. Nordås17910
CB. Grzelak16790
GO. Hindrich19700
DK. Piątkowski19640
DR. Augustyniak1957−5
DRobert Deziel17660
MP. Wszołek1856−7
MW. Urbański16880
MB. Kapustka1904−2
MK. Chodyna1866−1
FM. Ševčík16870
FŁ. Zjawiński15400
FR. Adamski17430
CM. Papszun19770
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(Cracovia Krakow · draw · Legia Warszawa)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Cracovia Krakow €747K, Legia Warszawa €882K.
  • Home advantage made Cracovia Krakow the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
  • Legia Warszawa were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Cracovia Krakow

11th in Ekstraklasa · 11 pts from 10

  • 10 OctWZaglebie Lubin 1708
  • 19 SepLGKS Katowice 1681
  • 13 SepLWisla Plock 1725
  • 6 SepLGornik Zabrze 1734
  • 29 AugLRadomiak Radom 1727

Legia Warszawa

3rd in Ekstraklasa · 22 pts from 10

  • 11 OctWWisla Krakow 1794
  • 20 SepWJagiellonia 1772
  • 13 SepDWidzew Łódź 1798
  • 5 SepWMotor Lublin 1789
  • 28 AugDSlask Wroclaw 1736

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Cracovia Krakow11 /1042.90%3%11%12th
Legia Warszawa22 /1058.88%74%0%3rd
Cracovia Krakow
Legia Warszawa

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Klich
M. Klich

Cracovia Krakow · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1576

R. Augustyniak
R. Augustyniak

Legia Warszawa · +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1962

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Bartosz Piotr Grzelak

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Marek Papszun

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Cracovia Krakow: balanced profile (how Bartosz Piotr Grzelak plays) · Legia Warszawa: balanced profile (how Marek Papszun plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.