Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15
Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:45 UTC · Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Cracovia Krakow host Jagiellonia on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cracovia Krakow 34%, draw 29%, Jagiellonia 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cracovia Krakow €654K, Jagiellonia €1.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cracovia Krakow goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Cracovia Krakow 1682 · Jagiellonia 1793
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cracovia Krakow · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1691
Jagiellonia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1820
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cracovia Krakow
15th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 14
- 6 NovLWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa1694
- 30 OctLMotor Lublin Ekstraklasa1706
- 24 OctLPiast Gliwice Ekstraklasa1697
- 17 OctDLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1715
- 10 OctWZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1700
Jagiellonia
9th in Ekstraklasa · 21 pts from 13
- 8 NovWGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa1803
- 5 NovLLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1814
- 31 OctWWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1761
- 25 OctWWisla Plock Ekstraklasa1758
- 22 OctLAnderlecht UEFA Europa League1773
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 12 /14 | 36.7 | 0% | <1% | 42% | 16th |
| Jagiellonia | 21 /13 | 52.5 | 1% | 33% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cracovia Krakow: balanced profile (how B. Grzelak plays) · Jagiellonia: possession-based (how Adrian Siemieniec plays)