Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Coventry vs Fulham
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Coventry host Fulham on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Coventry 36%, draw 29%, Fulham 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Coventry €8.3M, Fulham €15.6M.
- Home advantage makes Coventry the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Coventry goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–1expected 0.6 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Coventry 2099 · Fulham 2169
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Coventry · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 2136
Fulham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2282
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Coventry
16th in Premier League · 6 pts from 6
- 12 OctWNewcastle Premier League2074
- 19 SepWNottingham Forest Premier League2026
- 16 SepLAston Villa England League Cup1973
- 13 SepLBrighton Premier League2101
- 5 SepLManchester City Premier League2113
Fulham
17th in Premier League · 5 pts from 7
- 17 OctWHull City Premier League2198
- 10 OctLIpswich Premier League2199
- 20 SepDManchester United Premier League2186
- 15 SepWWest Ham England League Cup2118
- 12 SepDLiverpool Premier League2167
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 6 /6 | 36.2 | 0% | 0% | 58% | 20th |
| Fulham | 5 /7 | 37.1 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Coventry: creative (how Frank James Lampard plays) · Fulham: balanced profile (how Alvaro Arbeloa plays)