Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Coventry vs Crystal Palace
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Coventry host Crystal Palace on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Coventry 31%, draw 29%, Crystal Palace 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Coventry €8.8M, Crystal Palace €22.7M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premier League): Coventry rank #17 of 20, Crystal Palace #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Coventry goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 0–18%
- 2–17%
- 1–07%
- 2–27%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Coventry 2081 · Crystal Palace 2222
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Coventry · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 2179

Crystal Palace · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Average) · Elo 2260
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Coventry
17th in Premier League · 9 pts from 10
- 6 NovLEverton Premier League2086
- 31 OctWSunderland Premier League2052
- 24 OctLFulham Premier League2101
- 19 OctLTottenham Premier League2108
- 12 OctWNewcastle Premier League2067
Crystal Palace
20th in Premier League · 7 pts from 10
- 8 NovLLiverpool Premier League2238
- 5 NovD1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2230
- 31 OctLTottenham Premier League2253
- 28 OctWFulham England League Cup2170
- 25 OctLNewcastle Premier League2245
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 9 /10 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 20th |
| Crystal Palace | 7 /10 | 40.3 | 0% | <1% | 29% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Coventry: balanced profile (how F. Lampard plays) · Crystal Palace: balanced profile (how Pierre Sage plays)