Liga I · Regular Season - 14
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad
Corvinul Hunedoara host Arges Pitesti on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Corvinul Hunedoara 28%, draw 28%, Arges Pitesti 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Corvinul Hunedoara €278K, Arges Pitesti €449K.
- Arges Pitesti's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Corvinul Hunedoara goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Corvinul Hunedoara 1466 · Arges Pitesti 1583
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Corvinul Hunedoara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1581
Arges Pitesti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1547
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Corvinul Hunedoara
7th in Liga I · 16 pts from 12
- 17 OctLRapid Liga I1437
- 9 OctWFC Voluntari Liga I1385
- 21 SepWOţelul Liga I1411
- 13 SepLUniversitatea Craiova Liga I1415
- 6 SepLPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1428
Arges Pitesti
14th in Liga I · 11 pts from 11
- 12 OctLCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1581
- 18 SepLRapid Liga I1602
- 13 SepDFC Botosani Liga I1600
- 7 SepLFC Voluntari Liga I1577
- 29 AugLSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I1597
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corvinul Hunedoara | 16 /12 | 35.0 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 13th |
| Arges Pitesti | 11 /11 | 36.8 | 0% | 2% | 14% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct