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Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Corinthians 1–1 Vitoria

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo

Corinthians crestCorinthiansTeam 1852
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Vitoria crestVitoriaTeam 1825

Match story

Corinthians · draw · Vitoria

Before kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%

Live chances: Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0% at 90+13'3' · 0–0 · Corinthians 49%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%4' · 0–0 · Corinthians 49%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%5' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%6' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%7' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%8' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%9' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 29%, Vitoria 23%10' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%11' · 0–0 · Corinthians 48%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%12' · 0–0 · Corinthians 47%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%13' · 0–0 · Corinthians 47%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%14' · 0–0 · Corinthians 47%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%15' · 0–0 · Corinthians 47%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%16' · 0–0 · Corinthians 47%, draw 30%, Vitoria 23%17' · 0–0 · Corinthians 47%, draw 31%, Vitoria 23%18' · 0–0 · Corinthians 46%, draw 31%, Vitoria 23%19' · 0–0 · Corinthians 46%, draw 31%, Vitoria 23%20' · 0–0 · Corinthians 46%, draw 31%, Vitoria 23%21' · 0–0 · Corinthians 46%, draw 31%, Vitoria 23%22' · 0–0 · Corinthians 46%, draw 31%, Vitoria 23%23' · 0–0 · Corinthians 46%, draw 32%, Vitoria 23%24' · 0–0 · Corinthians 45%, draw 32%, Vitoria 23%25' · 0–0 · Corinthians 45%, draw 32%, Vitoria 23%26' · 0–0 · Corinthians 45%, draw 32%, Vitoria 23%27' · 0–0 · Corinthians 45%, draw 32%, Vitoria 23%28' · 0–0 · Corinthians 45%, draw 33%, Vitoria 23%29' · 0–0 · Corinthians 44%, draw 33%, Vitoria 23%30' · 0–0 · Corinthians 44%, draw 33%, Vitoria 23%31' · 0–0 · Corinthians 44%, draw 33%, Vitoria 23%32' · 0–0 · Corinthians 44%, draw 34%, Vitoria 23%33' · 0–0 · Corinthians 43%, draw 34%, Vitoria 23%34' · 0–0 · Corinthians 43%, draw 34%, Vitoria 23%35' · 0–0 · Corinthians 43%, draw 34%, Vitoria 23%36' · 0–0 · Corinthians 43%, draw 35%, Vitoria 23%37' · 0–0 · Corinthians 43%, draw 35%, Vitoria 23%38' · 0–0 · Corinthians 42%, draw 35%, Vitoria 23%39' · 0–0 · Corinthians 42%, draw 35%, Vitoria 23%40' · 0–0 · Corinthians 42%, draw 36%, Vitoria 23%41' · 0–0 · Corinthians 42%, draw 36%, Vitoria 22%42' · 0–0 · Corinthians 41%, draw 36%, Vitoria 22%43' · 0–0 · Corinthians 41%, draw 37%, Vitoria 22%44' · 0–0 · Corinthians 41%, draw 37%, Vitoria 22%45' · 0–0 · Corinthians 40%, draw 37%, Vitoria 22%45+1' · 0–1 · Corinthians 19%, draw 30%, Vitoria 51%45+2' · 0–1 · Corinthians 19%, draw 30%, Vitoria 52%45+3' · 0–1 · Corinthians 18%, draw 30%, Vitoria 52%HT · 0–1 · Corinthians 18%, draw 30%, Vitoria 52%47' · 0–1 · Corinthians 18%, draw 30%, Vitoria 53%48' · 0–1 · Corinthians 17%, draw 30%, Vitoria 53%49' · 0–1 · Corinthians 17%, draw 30%, Vitoria 54%50' · 0–1 · Corinthians 16%, draw 29%, Vitoria 54%51' · 0–1 · Corinthians 16%, draw 29%, Vitoria 55%52' · 0–1 · Corinthians 16%, draw 29%, Vitoria 55%53' · 0–1 · Corinthians 15%, draw 29%, Vitoria 56%54' · 0–1 · Corinthians 15%, draw 29%, Vitoria 56%55' · 0–1 · Corinthians 14%, draw 29%, Vitoria 57%56' · 0–1 · Corinthians 14%, draw 29%, Vitoria 57%57' · 0–1 · Corinthians 13%, draw 29%, Vitoria 58%58' · 0–1 · Corinthians 13%, draw 29%, Vitoria 59%59' · 0–1 · Corinthians 12%, draw 29%, Vitoria 59%60' · 0–1 · Corinthians 12%, draw 28%, Vitoria 60%61' · 0–1 · Corinthians 11%, draw 28%, Vitoria 60%62' · 0–1 · Corinthians 11%, draw 28%, Vitoria 61%63' · 0–1 · Corinthians 11%, draw 28%, Vitoria 62%64' · 0–1 · Corinthians 10%, draw 28%, Vitoria 62%65' · 0–1 · Corinthians 10%, draw 27%, Vitoria 63%66' · 0–1 · Corinthians 9%, draw 27%, Vitoria 63%67' · 1–1 · Corinthians 30%, draw 51%, Vitoria 19%68' · 2–1 · Corinthians 80%, draw 17%, Vitoria 3%69' · 1–1 · Corinthians 29%, draw 53%, Vitoria 18%70' · 1–1 · Corinthians 28%, draw 54%, Vitoria 18%71' · 1–1 · Corinthians 28%, draw 55%, Vitoria 17%72' · 1–1 · Corinthians 27%, draw 56%, Vitoria 17%73' · 1–1 · Corinthians 26%, draw 57%, Vitoria 17%74' · 1–1 · Corinthians 26%, draw 58%, Vitoria 16%75' · 1–1 · Corinthians 25%, draw 59%, Vitoria 16%76' · 1–1 · Corinthians 24%, draw 60%, Vitoria 16%77' · 1–1 · Corinthians 24%, draw 61%, Vitoria 15%78' · 1–1 · Corinthians 23%, draw 62%, Vitoria 15%79' · 1–1 · Corinthians 22%, draw 64%, Vitoria 14%80' · 1–1 · Corinthians 21%, draw 65%, Vitoria 14%81' · 1–1 · Corinthians 20%, draw 66%, Vitoria 13%82' · 1–1 · Corinthians 19%, draw 68%, Vitoria 13%83' · 1–1 · Corinthians 18%, draw 69%, Vitoria 12%84' · 1–1 · Corinthians 17%, draw 71%, Vitoria 12%85' · 1–1 · Corinthians 16%, draw 73%, Vitoria 11%86' · 1–1 · Corinthians 15%, draw 74%, Vitoria 10%87' · 1–1 · Corinthians 14%, draw 76%, Vitoria 10%88' · 1–1 · Corinthians 13%, draw 78%, Vitoria 9%89' · 1–1 · Corinthians 12%, draw 80%, Vitoria 8%90' · 1–1 · Corinthians 11%, draw 82%, Vitoria 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Corinthians 9%, draw 84%, Vitoria 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Corinthians 8%, draw 87%, Vitoria 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Corinthians 6%, draw 90%, Vitoria 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Corinthians 4%, draw 92%, Vitoria 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Corinthians 3%, draw 95%, Vitoria 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Corinthians 1%, draw 98%, Vitoria 1%90+7' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%90+8' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%90+9' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%90+10' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%90+11' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%90+12' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%90+13' · 1–1 · Corinthians 0%, draw 100%, Vitoria 0%

Last reading, 90+13': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Corinthians 49% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 45+1'Vitoria:Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira 1864
  2. 53'Vitoria:Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira 1864
  3. 66'Corinthians:Yuri Alberto 2015 (pen.)
  4. 67'Corinthians:Kaio César 1946 for Vitinho 1814
  5. 79'Corinthians:Matheus Bidu 1897 for Jesse Lingard 1600
  6. 80'Corinthians:Charles 1806 for André 1905
  7. 80'Vitoria:Zé Vitor 1844 for Matheuzinho 1917
  8. 80'Vitoria:Lucas Silva 1673 for Diego Tarzia 1867
  9. 85'Vitoria:Fabri 1492 for Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira 1864
  10. 90+3'Corinthians:Gui Negão 1776 for Yuri Alberto 2015
  11. 90+4'Vitoria:Walace 1641 for Caíque Gonçalves 1846
  12. 90+4'Vitoria:Ignacio Laquintana 1681 for Erick 1951

Line-ups

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GLucas Arcanjo1975
DMateusinho1786
DE. Brítez1849
DLuan Cândido1964
DJamerson1880
MCaíque1846
MErick1951
MMatheuzinho1917
ME. Martínez1893
MD. Tarzia1867
FRene1864
CJair Ventura1904
Before kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%(Corinthians · draw · Vitoria)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Corinthians €3.2M, Vitoria €1.7M.
  • Corinthians were without 1 expected starter: M. Depay (1858).
  • Vitoria were without 1 expected starter: Cacá (1962).
  • Home advantage made Corinthians the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Corinthians

16th in Série A · 32 pts from 30

  • 11 OctLPalmeiras 1862
  • 7 OctLInternacional 1931
  • 20 SepLFluminense 1916
  • 17 SepLEstudiantes L.P. 1916
  • 13 SepLFlamengo 1803

Vitoria

13th in Série A · 36 pts from 30

  • 11 OctLSao Paulo 1885
  • 7 OctWChapecoense-SC 1893
  • 20 SepLCruzeiro 1905
  • 13 SepDMirassol 1892
  • 7 SepWGremio 1866

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Corinthians32 /3042.10%0%20%17th
Vitoria36 /3046.20%0%3%13th
Corinthians
Vitoria

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Garro
R. Garro

Corinthians · +6.2 (Good) · Elo 1928

Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo

Vitoria · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1975

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Clarence Seedorf

Coach DNA: –

Ventura Jair

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Corinthians: balanced profile (how Clarence Seedorf plays) · Vitoria: direct (how Ventura Jair plays)