Serie A · Regular Season - 33
Corinthians vs Mirassol
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Corinthians host Mirassol on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Corinthians 49%, draw 27%, Mirassol 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Corinthians €4.5M, Mirassol €1.1M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Série A): Corinthians rank #20 of 20, Mirassol #1.
- All 11 of Mirassol's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Corinthians goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Corinthians 1837 · Mirassol 1820
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Corinthians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Good) · Elo 1928
Mirassol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 1929
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Corinthians
16th in Série A · 32 pts from 30
- 11 OctLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1862
- 7 OctLInternacional Brazil Serie A1931
- 20 SepLFluminense Brazil Serie A1916
- 17 SepLEstudiantes L.P. Copa Libertadores1916
- 13 SepLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1803
Mirassol
14th in Série A · 36 pts from 31
- 16 OctWInternacional Brazil Serie A1825
- 11 OctLBahia Brazil Serie A1813
- 7 OctDRB Bragantino Brazil Serie A1796
- 19 SepWBotafogo Brazil Serie A1753
- 13 SepDVitoria Brazil Serie A1738
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 32 /30 | 42.1 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 17th |
| Mirassol | 36 /31 | 44.4 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Corinthians: balanced profile (how Clarence Seedorf plays) · Mirassol: balanced profile (how Rafael Silva Guanaes plays)