Serie A · Regular Season - 35
Corinthians vs Botafogo
Thu 19 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Corinthians host Botafogo on Thu 19 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Corinthians 49%, draw 27%, Botafogo 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Corinthians €4.4M, Botafogo €3.3M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Corinthians goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Corinthians 1862 · Botafogo 1846
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Corinthians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Good) · Elo 1909
Botafogo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1960
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Corinthians
17th in Série A · 37 pts from 34
- 5 NovDSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1899
- 30 OctWMirassol Brazil Serie A1885
- 24 OctLVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1836
- 19 OctDVitoria Brazil Serie A1839
- 11 OctLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1861
Botafogo
11th in Série A · 42 pts from 34
- 5 NovWAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A1785
- 29 OctLRemo Brazil Serie A1871
- 24 OctLInternacional Brazil Serie A1878
- 17 OctWChapecoense-SC Brazil Serie A1853
- 12 OctDCoritiba Brazil Serie A1890
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 37 /34 | 42.4 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 18th |
| Botafogo | 42 /34 | 47.0 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Corinthians: balanced profile (how Clarence Seedorf plays) · Botafogo: balanced profile (how Tite plays)