Segunda División · Regular Season - 13
Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Cordoba host AD Ceuta FC on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Cordoba 52%, draw 26%, AD Ceuta FC 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Cordoba €561K, AD Ceuta FC €408K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Cordoba goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Cordoba 1706 · AD Ceuta FC 1616
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Cordoba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1784
AD Ceuta FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1762
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Cordoba
15th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 10
- 16 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1649
- 10 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1656
- 5 OctWTenerife Spain Segunda Division1610
- 27 SepLValladolid Spain Segunda Division1653
- 18 SepWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1633
AD Ceuta FC
21st in Segunda División · 5 pts from 10
- 18 OctLOviedo Spain Segunda Division1646
- 10 OctLSabadell Spain Segunda Division1558
- 4 OctDCastellón Spain Segunda Division1559
- 26 SepWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1568
- 20 SepDValladolid Spain Segunda Division1551
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 12 /10 | 52.1 | 0% | <1% | 9% | 14th |
| AD Ceuta FC | 5 /10 | 37.3 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Cordoba: creative · shot-heavy (how Iván Ania plays) · AD Ceuta FC: balanced profile (how José Juan Romero plays)