Primera División · Regular Season - 24
Concepción 1–1 Union La Calera
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion
ConcepciónTeam 1562
Union La CaleraTeam 1447Match story
Concepción · draw · Union La CaleraBefore kick-off: 48% · 28% · 25%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 99% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Ethan Espinoza 50'
- Christopher Díaz 90+7'
We gave Concepción 48% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 11'juan salomoni 1381 −4*
Union La Calera:juan salomoni 1381 −4* - Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8*21'
Concepción:Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8* - Mario Sandoval 1509 −15*28'
Concepción:Mario Sandoval 1509 −15* - 28'Daniel Gutiérrez 1648 −6*
Union La Calera:Daniel Gutiérrez 1648 −6* - 45'Maximiliano Fernández 1320 −5* for Martín Hiriart Espinoza 1363 −5*
Union La Calera:Maximiliano Fernández 1320 −5* for Martín Hiriart Espinoza 1363 −5* - Ethan Espinoza 1549 −8* assist Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8*50'
Concepción:Ethan Espinoza 1549 −8* assist Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8* - Diego Acosta 1330 −8* for Jorge Henríquez 1625 −14*66'
Concepción:Diego Acosta 1330 −8* for Jorge Henríquez 1625 −14* - Misael Dávila 1458 −15* for Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8*66'
Concepción:Misael Dávila 1458 −15* for Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8* - 68'Matías Campos López 1225 −13* for Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 1548 −7*
Union La Calera:Matías Campos López 1225 −13* for Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 1548 −7* - 68'Bayron Oyarzo 1506 −9* for Joan Cruz 1436 −5*
Union La Calera:Bayron Oyarzo 1506 −9* for Joan Cruz 1436 −5* - 74'Rodrigo Perez Casada 1508 −7*
Union La Calera:Rodrigo Perez Casada 1508 −7* - 80'Joaquín Soto 1536 −7* for Rodrigo Perez Casada 1508 −7*
Union La Calera:Joaquín Soto 1536 −7* for Rodrigo Perez Casada 1508 −7* - Fernando Martinez 1485 −12* for Mario Sandoval 1509 −15*84'
Concepción:Fernando Martinez 1485 −12* for Mario Sandoval 1509 −15* - 89'Yerko Leiva 1488 −9* for Camilo Moya 1500 −6*
Union La Calera:Yerko Leiva 1488 −9* for Camilo Moya 1500 −6* - Matías Cavalleri 1527 −9* for Ethan Espinoza 1549 −8*90+3'
Concepción:Matías Cavalleri 1527 −9* for Ethan Espinoza 1549 −8* - Carlos Escobar 962 −17* for Joaquín Larrivey 1310 −26*90+3'
Concepción:Carlos Escobar 962 −17* for Joaquín Larrivey 1310 −26* - 90+7'Christopher Díaz 1548 −3* assist Bayron Oyarzo 1506 −9*
Union La Calera:Christopher Díaz 1548 −3* assist Bayron Oyarzo 1506 −9*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 25%(Concepción · draw · Union La Calera)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Concepción €267K, Union La Calera €272K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Concepción
8th in Primera División · 31 pts from 23
- 13 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1553
- 5 SepLA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1561
- 30 AugWNublense Chile Primera Division1588
- 23 AugDCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1573
- 16 AugWCobresal Chile Primera Division1549
Union La Calera
16th in Primera División · 17 pts from 23
- 14 SepWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1457
- 6 SepLO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1508
- 31 AugLD. La Serena Chile Primera Division1470
- 22 AugDA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1484
- 16 AugLNublense Chile Primera Division1486
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concepción | 31 /23 | 40.2 | 0% | 5% | 1% | 7th |
| Union La Calera | 17 /23 | 24.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Concepción · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1678

Union La Calera · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1515
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Concepción: balanced profile (how Patricio Almendra plays) · Union La Calera: balanced profile (how Martín Leonel Cicotello plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.