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Primera División · Regular Season - 24

Concepción 1–1 Union La Calera

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion

Concepción crestConcepciónTeam 1562
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Union La Calera crestUnion La CaleraTeam 1447

Match story

Concepción · draw · Union La Calera

Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 25%

Live chances: Concepción 1%, draw 99%, Union La Calera 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Concepción 48%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%2' · 0–0 · Concepción 48%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%3' · 0–0 · Concepción 48%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%4' · 0–0 · Concepción 47%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%5' · 0–0 · Concepción 47%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%6' · 0–0 · Concepción 47%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%7' · 0–0 · Concepción 47%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 25%8' · 0–0 · Concepción 47%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 25%10' · 0–0 · Concepción 47%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 25%11' · 0–0 · Concepción 46%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 25%12' · 0–0 · Concepción 46%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 25%13' · 0–0 · Concepción 46%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 25%14' · 0–0 · Concepción 46%, draw 30%, Union La Calera 25%15' · 0–0 · Concepción 46%, draw 30%, Union La Calera 24%16' · 0–0 · Concepción 45%, draw 30%, Union La Calera 24%17' · 0–0 · Concepción 45%, draw 30%, Union La Calera 24%18' · 0–0 · Concepción 45%, draw 30%, Union La Calera 24%19' · 0–0 · Concepción 45%, draw 31%, Union La Calera 24%20' · 0–0 · Concepción 45%, draw 31%, Union La Calera 24%21' · 0–0 · Concepción 45%, draw 31%, Union La Calera 24%22' · 0–0 · Concepción 44%, draw 31%, Union La Calera 24%23' · 0–0 · Concepción 44%, draw 31%, Union La Calera 24%24' · 0–0 · Concepción 44%, draw 32%, Union La Calera 24%25' · 0–0 · Concepción 44%, draw 32%, Union La Calera 24%26' · 0–0 · Concepción 44%, draw 32%, Union La Calera 24%27' · 0–0 · Concepción 43%, draw 32%, Union La Calera 24%28' · 0–0 · Concepción 43%, draw 33%, Union La Calera 24%29' · 0–0 · Concepción 43%, draw 33%, Union La Calera 24%30' · 0–0 · Concepción 43%, draw 33%, Union La Calera 24%31' · 0–0 · Concepción 43%, draw 33%, Union La Calera 24%32' · 0–0 · Concepción 42%, draw 34%, Union La Calera 24%33' · 0–0 · Concepción 42%, draw 34%, Union La Calera 24%34' · 0–0 · Concepción 42%, draw 34%, Union La Calera 24%35' · 0–0 · Concepción 42%, draw 34%, Union La Calera 24%36' · 0–0 · Concepción 41%, draw 35%, Union La Calera 24%37' · 0–0 · Concepción 41%, draw 35%, Union La Calera 24%38' · 0–0 · Concepción 41%, draw 35%, Union La Calera 24%39' · 0–0 · Concepción 41%, draw 36%, Union La Calera 24%40' · 0–0 · Concepción 40%, draw 36%, Union La Calera 24%41' · 0–0 · Concepción 40%, draw 36%, Union La Calera 24%42' · 0–0 · Concepción 40%, draw 37%, Union La Calera 24%43' · 0–0 · Concepción 39%, draw 37%, Union La Calera 23%44' · 0–0 · Concepción 39%, draw 37%, Union La Calera 23%45' · 0–0 · Concepción 39%, draw 38%, Union La Calera 23%45+1' · 0–0 · Concepción 39%, draw 38%, Union La Calera 23%45+2' · 0–0 · Concepción 38%, draw 39%, Union La Calera 23%45+3' · 0–0 · Concepción 38%, draw 39%, Union La Calera 23%HT · 0–0 · Concepción 38%, draw 39%, Union La Calera 23%46' · 0–0 · Concepción 38%, draw 39%, Union La Calera 23%47' · 0–0 · Concepción 38%, draw 40%, Union La Calera 23%48' · 0–0 · Concepción 37%, draw 40%, Union La Calera 23%49' · 0–0 · Concepción 37%, draw 41%, Union La Calera 23%50' · 1–0 · Concepción 77%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 5%51' · 1–0 · Concepción 77%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 5%52' · 1–0 · Concepción 77%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 5%53' · 1–0 · Concepción 77%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 5%54' · 1–0 · Concepción 77%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 5%55' · 1–0 · Concepción 78%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 4%56' · 1–0 · Concepción 78%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 4%57' · 1–0 · Concepción 78%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 4%58' · 1–0 · Concepción 78%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 4%59' · 1–0 · Concepción 79%, draw 18%, Union La Calera 4%60' · 1–0 · Concepción 79%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 4%61' · 1–0 · Concepción 79%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 4%62' · 1–0 · Concepción 79%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 4%63' · 1–0 · Concepción 80%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 3%64' · 1–0 · Concepción 80%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 3%65' · 1–0 · Concepción 80%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 3%66' · 1–0 · Concepción 80%, draw 17%, Union La Calera 3%67' · 1–0 · Concepción 81%, draw 16%, Union La Calera 3%68' · 1–0 · Concepción 81%, draw 16%, Union La Calera 3%69' · 1–0 · Concepción 81%, draw 16%, Union La Calera 3%70' · 1–0 · Concepción 82%, draw 16%, Union La Calera 3%71' · 1–0 · Concepción 82%, draw 16%, Union La Calera 2%72' · 1–0 · Concepción 82%, draw 15%, Union La Calera 2%73' · 1–0 · Concepción 83%, draw 15%, Union La Calera 2%74' · 1–0 · Concepción 83%, draw 15%, Union La Calera 2%75' · 1–0 · Concepción 84%, draw 15%, Union La Calera 2%76' · 1–0 · Concepción 84%, draw 14%, Union La Calera 2%77' · 1–0 · Concepción 85%, draw 14%, Union La Calera 2%78' · 1–0 · Concepción 85%, draw 13%, Union La Calera 2%79' · 1–0 · Concepción 86%, draw 13%, Union La Calera 1%80' · 1–0 · Concepción 86%, draw 13%, Union La Calera 1%81' · 1–0 · Concepción 87%, draw 12%, Union La Calera 1%82' · 1–0 · Concepción 87%, draw 12%, Union La Calera 1%83' · 1–0 · Concepción 88%, draw 11%, Union La Calera 1%84' · 1–0 · Concepción 88%, draw 11%, Union La Calera 1%85' · 1–0 · Concepción 89%, draw 10%, Union La Calera 1%86' · 1–0 · Concepción 90%, draw 10%, Union La Calera 1%87' · 1–0 · Concepción 90%, draw 9%, Union La Calera 1%88' · 1–0 · Concepción 91%, draw 8%, Union La Calera 0%89' · 1–0 · Concepción 92%, draw 8%, Union La Calera 0%90' · 1–0 · Concepción 93%, draw 7%, Union La Calera 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Concepción 94%, draw 6%, Union La Calera 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Concepción 95%, draw 5%, Union La Calera 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Concepción 96%, draw 4%, Union La Calera 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Concepción 97%, draw 3%, Union La Calera 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Concepción 98%, draw 2%, Union La Calera 0%90+6' · 1–1 · Concepción 1%, draw 99%, Union La Calera 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 99% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Concepción 48% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 11'Union La Calera:juan salomoni 1381 −4*
  2. 21'Concepción:Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8*
  3. 28'Concepción:Mario Sandoval 1509 −15*
  4. 28'Union La Calera:Daniel Gutiérrez 1648 −6*
  5. 45'Union La Calera:Maximiliano Fernández 1320 −5* for Martín Hiriart Espinoza 1363 −5*
  6. 50'Concepción:Ethan Espinoza 1549 −8* assist Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8*
  7. 66'Concepción:Diego Acosta 1330 −8* for Jorge Henríquez 1625 −14*
  8. 66'Concepción:Misael Dávila 1458 −15* for Cristian Riquelme 1604 −8*
  9. 68'Union La Calera:Matías Campos López 1225 −13* for Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 1548 −7*
  10. 68'Union La Calera:Bayron Oyarzo 1506 −9* for Joan Cruz 1436 −5*
  11. 74'Union La Calera:Rodrigo Perez Casada 1508 −7*
  12. 80'Union La Calera:Joaquín Soto 1536 −7* for Rodrigo Perez Casada 1508 −7*
  13. 84'Concepción:Fernando Martinez 1485 −12* for Mario Sandoval 1509 −15*
  14. 89'Union La Calera:Yerko Leiva 1488 −9* for Camilo Moya 1500 −6*
  15. 90+3'Concepción:Matías Cavalleri 1527 −9* for Ethan Espinoza 1549 −8*
  16. 90+3'Concepción:Carlos Escobar 962 −17* for Joaquín Larrivey 1310 −26*
  17. 90+7'Union La Calera:Christopher Díaz 1548 −3* assist Bayron Oyarzo 1506 −9*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GN. Araya1638−9*
DA. Cáceres1693−10*
DN. Rodríguez1668−10*
DF. Grillo1660−16*
DD. Varas1555−8*
MM. Sandoval1509−15*
MY. Rodríguez1605−13*
MC. Riquelme1604−8*
MJ. Henríquez1625−14*
ME. Espinoza1549−8*
FJ. Larrivey1310−26*
DC. Díaz1548−3*
DJ. Salomoni1381−4*
MC. Moya1500−6*
MR. Pérez1508−7*
MM. Hiriart1363−5*
MS. Sáez1355−19*
MJ. Cruz1436−5*
FB. Ferreyra1548−7*
Before kick-off: 48% · 28% · 25%(Concepción · draw · Union La Calera)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Concepción €267K, Union La Calera €272K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Concepción

8th in Primera División · 31 pts from 23

  • 13 SepDColo Colo 1553
  • 5 SepLA. Italiano 1561
  • 30 AugWNublense 1588
  • 23 AugDCoquimbo Unido 1573
  • 16 AugWCobresal 1549

Union La Calera

16th in Primera División · 17 pts from 23

  • 14 SepWDeportes Limache 1457
  • 6 SepLO'Higgins 1508
  • 31 AugLD. La Serena 1470
  • 22 AugDA. Italiano 1484
  • 16 AugLNublense 1486

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Concepción31 /2340.20%5%1%7th
Union La Calera17 /2324.40%0%100%16th
Concepción
Union La Calera

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Rodríguez
N. Rodríguez

Concepción · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1678

R. Pérez
R. Pérez

Union La Calera · +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1515

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Patricio Almendra

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Martín Leonel Cicotello

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Concepción: balanced profile (how Patricio Almendra plays) · Union La Calera: balanced profile (how Martín Leonel Cicotello plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.