Primera División · Regular Season - 26
Concepción vs Palestino
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion
Concepción host Palestino on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Concepción 39%, draw 29%, Palestino 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Concepción €255K, Palestino €282K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Concepción goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Concepción 1571 · Palestino 1555
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Concepción · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.2 (Elite) · Elo 1668
Palestino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1577
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Concepción
8th in Primera División · 32 pts from 24
- 11 OctDUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1592
- 13 SepDColo Colo Chile Primera Division1553
- 5 SepLA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1561
- 30 AugWNublense Chile Primera Division1588
- 23 AugDCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1573
Palestino
5th in Primera División · 37 pts from 24
- 11 OctDDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1544
- 12 SepLU. Catolica Chile Primera Division1566
- 6 SepWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1546
- 28 AugLCobresal Chile Primera Division1559
- 23 AugWO'Higgins Chile Primera Division1546
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concepción | 32 /24 | 39.6 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 9th |
| Palestino | 37 /24 | 44.4 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Concepción: balanced profile (how Patricio Almendra plays) · Palestino: balanced profile (how Guillermo Martín Farré plays)