Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UTC · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Columbus Crew host Toronto FC on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Columbus Crew 59%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Columbus Crew €3.3M, Toronto FC €1.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Columbus Crew goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 3–07%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Columbus Crew 1974 · Toronto FC 1805
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Columbus Crew · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2033
Toronto FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1929
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Columbus Crew
13th in MLS · 32 pts from 29
- 18 OctWFC Cincinnati MLS1953
- 14 OctWCharlotte MLS1957
- 10 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1975
- 27 SepWInter Miami MLS1947
- 19 SepWCF Montreal MLS1938
Toronto FC
10th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 17 OctWNew York Red Bulls MLS1775
- 14 OctDOrlando City SC MLS1813
- 10 OctWCF Montreal MLS1810
- 27 SepLNashville SC MLS1766
- 20 SepLSt. Louis City MLS1786
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 32 /29 | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 27th |
| Toronto FC | 36 /30 | 39.7 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays) · Toronto FC: balanced profile (how Robin Lucius Fraser plays)