Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
Columbus Crew vs DC United
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Columbus Crew host DC United on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Columbus Crew 56%, draw 25%, DC United 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Columbus Crew €3.3M, DC United €1.3M.
- Style contrast in discipline (MLS): Columbus Crew rank #1 of 30, DC United #30.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Columbus Crew goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Columbus Crew 1974 · DC United 1840
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Columbus Crew · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2033
DC United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1853
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Columbus Crew
13th in MLS · 32 pts from 29
- 18 OctWFC Cincinnati MLS1953
- 14 OctWCharlotte MLS1957
- 10 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1975
- 27 SepWInter Miami MLS1947
- 19 SepWCF Montreal MLS1938
DC United
12th in MLS · 33 pts from 29
- 17 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1864
- 14 OctWNew York Red Bulls MLS1837
- 10 OctLInter Miami MLS1832
- 27 SepDVancouver Whitecaps MLS1840
- 19 SepLCharlotte MLS1870
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 32 /29 | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 27th |
| DC United | 33 /29 | 38.8 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 27th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays) · DC United: direct · high-pressing (how René Weiler plays)