Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
Columbus Crew 3–1 Charlotte
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus
Columbus CrewTeam 1950
CharlotteTeam 2012Match story
Columbus Crew · draw · CharlotteBefore kick-off: 42% · 25% · 33%
Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Brais Méndez 28'
- Anass Zaroury 63'
- Taha Habroune 65'
We gave Columbus Crew 42% to win: they did.
- 17'Idan Toklomati Jorno 2036 −23
Charlotte:Idan Toklomati Jorno 2036 −23 - Brais Méndez 2025 +26 assist Santiago Rodriguez 2024 +2628'
Columbus Crew:Brais Méndez 2025 +26 assist Santiago Rodriguez 2024 +26 - 45'Nathan Byrne 1935 −6 for Will Cleary 1788 0
Charlotte:Nathan Byrne 1935 −6 for Will Cleary 1788 0 - 45'Luca De La Torre 1991 −3 for Brandt Bronico 1944 −4
Charlotte:Luca De La Torre 1991 −3 for Brandt Bronico 1944 −4 - 45'Rodolfo Aloko 1594 0 for Liel Abada 2006 −3
Charlotte:Rodolfo Aloko 1594 0 for Liel Abada 2006 −3 - Anass Zaroury 2064 +17 assist Mohamed Farsi 2063 +2363'
Columbus Crew:Anass Zaroury 2064 +17 assist Mohamed Farsi 2063 +23 - Taha Habroune 1990 +3365'
Columbus Crew:Taha Habroune 1990 +33 - Malte Amundsen 2026 +869'
Columbus Crew:Malte Amundsen 2026 +8 - Brooks Lennon 1812 +3 for Anass Zaroury 2064 +1769'
Columbus Crew:Brooks Lennon 1812 +3 for Anass Zaroury 2064 +17 - Patrick Schulte 1990 +1272'
Columbus Crew:Patrick Schulte 1990 +12 - 78'Tyger Smalls 1611 −8* for Allan Saint-Maximin 2112 −13
Charlotte:Tyger Smalls 1611 −8* for Allan Saint-Maximin 2112 −13 - Jamal Thiare 1695 −9* for Josef Martínez 1776 +1578'
Columbus Crew:Jamal Thiare 1695 −9* for Josef Martínez 1776 +15 - Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 1627 +4 for Dylan Chambost 1968 +2978'
Columbus Crew:Sekou Tidiany Bangoura 1627 +4 for Dylan Chambost 1968 +29 - 83'Djibril Diani 1933 −1 for Pep Biel 2062 −11
Charlotte:Djibril Diani 1933 −1 for Pep Biel 2062 −11 - André Gomes 1919 −5 for Santiago Rodriguez 2024 +2686'
Columbus Crew:André Gomes 1919 −5 for Santiago Rodriguez 2024 +26 - Eric Bailly 1902 −11* for Malte Amundsen 2026 +887'
Columbus Crew:Eric Bailly 1902 −11* for Malte Amundsen 2026 +8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 42% · 25% · 33%(Columbus Crew · draw · Charlotte)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–1 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Columbus Crew €3.2M, Charlotte €2.4M.
- Home advantage made Columbus Crew the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Columbus Crew
13th in MLS · 29 pts from 28
- 10 OctLOrlando City SC MLS1975
- 27 SepWInter Miami MLS1947
- 19 SepWCF Montreal MLS1938
- 12 SepLNew York Red Bulls MLS1899
- 9 SepLDC United MLS1894
Charlotte
5th in MLS · 46 pts from 28
- 10 OctWFC Dallas MLS1996
- 26 SepLChicago Fire MLS1960
- 19 SepWDC United MLS1985
- 12 SepDFC Cincinnati MLS1983
- 9 SepWCF Montreal MLS1942
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 29 /28 | 37.6 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 27th |
| Charlotte | 46 /28 | 54.3 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Columbus Crew · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1998

Charlotte · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1952
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Columbus Crew: possession-based (how Laurent Courtois plays) · Charlotte: low-block (how Dean Smith plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.