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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UTC · Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City

Colorado Rapids crestColorado RapidsTeam 1888
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesTeam 1943

Match story

Colorado Rapids · draw · San Jose Earthquakes

Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 31%

Live chances: Colorado Rapids 2%, draw 96%, San Jose Earthquakes 2% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%2' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%3' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%4' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%5' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%6' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%7' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%8' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%9' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%10' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 40%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%11' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 39%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%12' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 39%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%13' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 39%, draw 30%, San Jose Earthquakes 31%14' · 0–1 · Colorado Rapids 21%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 54%15' · 0–1 · Colorado Rapids 21%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 54%16' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 39%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%17' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 39%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%18' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 39%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%19' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%20' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 31%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%21' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%22' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%23' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%24' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%25' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 32%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%26' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 33%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%27' · 0–0 · Colorado Rapids 37%, draw 33%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%28' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 69%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 10%29' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 69%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 10%30' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 10%31' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 10%32' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 10%33' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%34' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%35' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%36' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%37' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%38' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 70%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%39' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%40' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%41' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%42' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%43' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%44' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%45' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%45+1' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 71%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%45+2' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%45+3' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%45+4' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%45+5' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%45+6' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%HT · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%46' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%47' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%48' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%49' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 72%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%50' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 73%, draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%51' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 73%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%52' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 73%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 6%53' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 73%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 6%54' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 74%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 6%55' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 74%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 6%56' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 74%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 6%57' · 1–0 · Colorado Rapids 75%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 5%58' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 29%, draw 46%, San Jose Earthquakes 25%59' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 29%, draw 47%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%60' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 28%, draw 48%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%61' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 28%, draw 48%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%62' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 28%, draw 49%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%63' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 27%, draw 50%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%64' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 27%, draw 51%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%65' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 26%, draw 51%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%66' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 26%, draw 52%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%67' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 25%, draw 53%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%68' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 25%, draw 54%, San Jose Earthquakes 21%69' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 24%, draw 55%, San Jose Earthquakes 21%70' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 24%, draw 56%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%71' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 23%, draw 57%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%72' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 23%, draw 58%, San Jose Earthquakes 20%73' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 22%, draw 59%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%74' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 22%, draw 60%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%75' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 21%, draw 61%, San Jose Earthquakes 18%76' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 21%, draw 62%, San Jose Earthquakes 18%77' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 20%, draw 63%, San Jose Earthquakes 17%78' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 19%, draw 64%, San Jose Earthquakes 17%79' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 18%, draw 65%, San Jose Earthquakes 16%80' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 18%, draw 67%, San Jose Earthquakes 15%81' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 17%, draw 68%, San Jose Earthquakes 15%82' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 16%, draw 70%, San Jose Earthquakes 14%83' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 15%, draw 71%, San Jose Earthquakes 14%84' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 15%, draw 72%, San Jose Earthquakes 13%85' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 14%, draw 74%, San Jose Earthquakes 12%86' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 13%, draw 76%, San Jose Earthquakes 11%87' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 12%, draw 77%, San Jose Earthquakes 11%88' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 11%, draw 79%, San Jose Earthquakes 10%89' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 10%, draw 81%, San Jose Earthquakes 9%90' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 9%, draw 83%, San Jose Earthquakes 8%90+1' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 8%, draw 86%, San Jose Earthquakes 7%90+2' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 6%, draw 88%, San Jose Earthquakes 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 5%, draw 90%, San Jose Earthquakes 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 4%, draw 93%, San Jose Earthquakes 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Colorado Rapids 2%, draw 96%, San Jose Earthquakes 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 96% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Colorado Rapids 40% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 27'Colorado Rapids:Donavan Phillip 1676 −8* assist Paxten Aaronson 1986 −9*
  2. 44'San Jose Earthquakes:Jack Jasinski 1805 −5*
  3. 45+3'Colorado Rapids:Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba Gironés 1941 −8*
  4. 57'San Jose Earthquakes:Dave Romney 1935 −5* assist Ronaldo Vieira 2033 −3*
  5. 59'Colorado Rapids:Georgi Minoungou 1830 −8* for Donavan Phillip 1676 −8*
  6. 59'San Jose Earthquakes:Ousseni Bouda 2042 −7* for Timo Werner 2127 −9*
  7. 59'San Jose Earthquakes:Jamar Ricketts 1903 −7* for Vitor Costa 1793 −9*
  8. 73'Colorado Rapids:Keegan Rosenberry 1740 −12* for Reggie Cannon 1926 −9*
  9. 73'San Jose Earthquakes:Nick Fernandez 1592 −7* for Paul Marie 1636 −6*
  10. 74'San Jose Earthquakes:Max Floriani 1674 −7* for Jack Jasinski 1805 −5*
  11. 83'Colorado Rapids:Darren Yapi 1879 −8* for Sayd Abu Farhi 1753 −8*
  12. 83'Colorado Rapids:Ibrahim Sadiq 1961 −8* for Joshua Atencio 1892 −8*
  13. 83'Colorado Rapids:Hamzat Ojediran 1864 −8* for Georgi Minoungou 1830 −8*
  14. 90+4'San Jose Earthquakes:Ian Harkes 1903 −11* for Beau Leroux 2105 −6*
  15. 90+4'Colorado Rapids:Matthew Elliott Wells

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations5-3-2
GN. Defreitas1784−8*
DR. Cannon1926−9*
DR. Holding1966−12*
DLoïc Williams1941−8*
DM. Navarro1928−9*
MP. Aaronson1986−9*
MJ. Atencio1892−8*
MW. Frederick II1821−8*
FM. Whittaker2066−9*
FS. Farhi1753−8*
FD. Phillip1676−8*
CMatt Wells1896−8*
GE. Edwards1516+6*
DP. Marie1636−6*
DJack Jasinski1805−5*
DD. Munie2125−7*
DD. Romney1935−5*
DVítor Costa1793−9*
ME. Löwen1946−7*
MR. Vieira2033−3*
MBeau Leroux2105−6*
FP. Judd1987−6*
FT. Werner2127−9*
CB. Arena2096−5*
Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 31%(Colorado Rapids · draw · San Jose Earthquakes)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Colorado Rapids €2.1M, San Jose Earthquakes €1.9M.
  • San Jose Earthquakes were without 1 expected starter: R. Roberts (2032).
  • Home advantage made Colorado Rapids the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • San Jose Earthquakes were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Colorado Rapids

8th in MLS · 36 pts from 27

  • 27 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy 1885
  • 20 SepDSeattle Sounders 1899
  • 13 SepWCF Montreal 1853
  • 10 SepDAustin 1859
  • 5 SepLColumbus Crew 1872

San Jose Earthquakes

4th in MLS · 45 pts from 27

  • 27 SepWPortland Timbers 1924
  • 19 SepDLos Angeles FC 2029
  • 13 SepWHouston Dynamo 1990
  • 10 SepWSan Diego 1919
  • 6 SepDAustin 1984

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Colorado Rapids36 /2745.10%0%0%14th
San Jose Earthquakes45 /2755.40%21%0%7th
Colorado Rapids
San Jose Earthquakes

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

P. Aaronson
P. Aaronson

Colorado Rapids · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1995

Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux

San Jose Earthquakes · +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2111

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Matt Wells

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Bruce Arena

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Colorado Rapids: balanced profile (how Matt Wells plays) · San Jose Earthquakes: direct (how Bruce Arena plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.