Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 01:30 UTC
Colorado Rapids host Chicago Fire on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Colorado Rapids 38%, draw 29%, Chicago Fire 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Colorado Rapids €2.1M, Chicago Fire €3.0M.
- Home advantage makes Colorado Rapids the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Colorado Rapids goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Colorado Rapids 1884 · Chicago Fire 1968
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Colorado Rapids · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1985
Chicago Fire · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1985
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Colorado Rapids
9th in MLS · 39 pts from 30
- 18 OctDPortland Timbers MLS1877
- 15 OctDMinnesota United FC MLS1880
- 11 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1895
- 27 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1885
- 20 SepDSeattle Sounders MLS1899
Chicago Fire
4th in MLS · 48 pts from 30
- 17 OctLNew England Revolution MLS2013
- 15 OctLPhiladelphia Union MLS2007
- 10 OctWNew York City FC MLS2013
- 7 OctWVancouver Whitecaps MLS1950
- 26 SepWCharlotte MLS1917
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 39 /30 | 43.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| Chicago Fire | 48 /30 | 53.6 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Colorado Rapids: balanced profile (how Matt Wells plays) · Chicago Fire: balanced profile (how Gregg Matthew Berhalter plays)