Primera Nacional · Round of 16
Colon Santa Fe vs Midland
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Colon Santa Fe host Midland on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera Nacional); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Colon Santa Fe 54%, draw 26%, Midland 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Colon Santa Fe €235K, Midland €129K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera Nacional Round of 16: 132 points.
- Primera Nacional: M. Budiño is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1625).
- M. Budiño, I. Lago and I. Antonio (Colon Santa Fe) have not played for over 90 days.
- N. Violini, J. Perales and G. Cepeda (Midland) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Colon Santa Fe goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Colon Santa Fe 1552 · Midland 1420
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Colon Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1678
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Colon Santa Fe
5th in Primera Nacional · 60 pts from 36
- 26 SepDAll Boys Argentine Primera Nacional1558
- 12 JulWCentral Norte Argentine Primera Nacional1559
- 5 JulWDeportivo Madryn Argentine Primera Nacional1542
- 7 JunDCiudad de Bolívar Argentine Primera Nacional1551
- 30 MayDAlmirante Brown Argentine Primera Nacional1554
Midland
5th in Primera Nacional · 55 pts from 36
- 29 AugWNueva Chicago Argentine Primera Nacional1435
- 12 JulWQuilmes Argentine Primera Nacional1430
- 5 JulDGimnasia Jujuy Argentine Primera Nacional1381
- 6 JunLGimnasia Y Tiro Argentine Primera Nacional1443
- 31 MayWSan Martin Tucuman Argentine Primera Nacional1419
Season outlook
From the Primera Nacional simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon Santa Fe | 60 /36 | 61.9 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8th |
| Midland | 55 /36 | 55.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 36th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –