Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 34
Colon Santa Fe 2–2 Almirante Brown
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Colon Santa FeTeam 1548Almirante BrownTeam 1447- F. Rasmussen 66'
- I. Lago 87'
- P. Velurtas 79'
- E. Martinez 90+1'
We gave Colon Santa Fe 51% to win: it ended in a draw.
- M. Peinipil –10'Colon Santa Fe:M. Peinipil –
- 17'G. Cabral –Almirante Brown:G. Cabral –
- M. Munoz –42'Colon Santa Fe:M. Munoz –
- C. Ibarra – for D. Sarmiento –46'Colon Santa Fe:C. Ibarra – for D. Sarmiento –
- 62'E. Martinez – for M. Zanotti –Almirante Brown:E. Martinez – for M. Zanotti –
- L. Garate – for J. Marcioni –63'Colon Santa Fe:L. Garate – for J. Marcioni –
- Z. Ibarra – for S. Olmedo –63'Colon Santa Fe:Z. Ibarra – for S. Olmedo –
- F. Rasmussen –66'Colon Santa Fe:F. Rasmussen –
- 68'G. Alegre Rojas –Almirante Brown:G. Alegre Rojas –
- 71'S. Villalba – for M. Santiago –Almirante Brown:S. Villalba – for M. Santiago –
- 71'G. Moreyra – for M. Abreliano –Almirante Brown:G. Moreyra – for M. Abreliano –
- L. Garate –77'Colon Santa Fe:L. Garate –
- 77'E. Cardozo –Almirante Brown:E. Cardozo –
- 79'P. Velurtas – assist G. Moreyra –Almirante Brown:P. Velurtas – assist G. Moreyra –
- 80'Almirante Brown:
- 83'M. Levi – for T. Villoldo –Almirante Brown:M. Levi – for T. Villoldo –
- 83'L. Jara – for L. Pascual –Almirante Brown:L. Jara – for L. Pascual –
- J. Buosi – for L. Garate –84'Colon Santa Fe:J. Buosi – for L. Garate –
- I. Lago – assist J. Buosi –87'Colon Santa Fe:I. Lago – assist J. Buosi –
- 90+1'E. Martinez –Almirante Brown:E. Martinez –
Before kick-off (provisional): 51% · 26% · 22%(Colon Santa Fe · draw · Almirante Brown)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Colon Santa Fe €225K, Almirante Brown €127K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Primera Nacional matchday 34: 101 points.
- Primera Nacional: M. Budiño was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1625).
- M. Budiño, I. Lago and I. Antonio (Colon Santa Fe) had not played for over 90 days.
- G. Alegre Rojas and U. Abreliano (Almirante Brown) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Colon Santa Fe
5th in Primera Nacional · 53 pts from 33
- 26 SepDAll Boys Argentine Primera Nacional1558
- 12 JulWCentral Norte Argentine Primera Nacional1559
- 5 JulWDeportivo Madryn Argentine Primera Nacional1542
- 7 JunDCiudad de Bolívar Argentine Primera Nacional1551
- 30 MayDAlmirante Brown Argentine Primera Nacional1554
Almirante Brown
8th in Primera Nacional · 47 pts from 33
- 26 SepLAcassuso Argentine Primera Nacional1415
- 11 JulDAll Boys Argentine Primera Nacional1413
- 4 JulWLos Andes Argentine Primera Nacional1437
- 7 JunLDeportivo Moron Argentine Primera Nacional1472
- 30 MayDColon Santa Fe Argentine Primera Nacional1475
Season outlook
From the Primera Nacional simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon Santa Fe | 53 /33 | 58.1 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8th |
| Almirante Brown | 47 /33 | 50.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 36th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almirante Brown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1527
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –