Primera División · Regular Season - 26
Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Monumental David Arellano, San Diego
Colo Colo host Universidad de Concepcion on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Colo Colo 62%, draw 22%, Universidad de Concepcion 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Colo Colo €685K, Universidad de Concepcion €260K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Primera División matchday 26: 258 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Colo Colo goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Colo Colo 1764 · Universidad de Concepcion 1506
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Colo Colo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1807
Universidad de Concepcion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1267
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Colo Colo
1st in Primera División · 54 pts from 24
- 11 OctLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1788
- 13 SepDConcepción Chile Primera Division1792
- 6 SepDHuachipato Chile Primera Division1788
- 30 AugWA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1781
- 23 AugWUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1760
Universidad de Concepcion
15th in Primera División · 23 pts from 24
- 10 OctDCobresal Chile Primera Division1493
- 2 OctLHuachipato Chile Primera Division1512
- 6 SepLPalestino Chile Primera Division1517
- 2 SepLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1518
- 30 AugWUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1506
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 54 /24 | 65.1 | 98% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 23 /24 | 29.5 | 0% | 0% | 91% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Colo Colo: possession-based (how Fernando Ortíz plays) · Universidad de Concepcion: balanced profile (how Cristian Munoz plays)