Primera División · Regular Season - 28
Colo Colo vs U. Catolica
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
Colo Colo host U. Catolica on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Colo Colo 39%, draw 29%, U. Catolica 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Colo Colo €679K, U. Catolica €617K.
- Primera División: J. Valencia is the highest-rated midfielder (1845).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Primera División): Colo Colo rank #2 of 19, U. Catolica #18.
- All 11 of U. Catolica's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Colo Colo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 2–18%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 0–17%
- 0–07%
- Other scores48%
Team Elo: Colo Colo 1752 · U. Catolica 1738
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Colo Colo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.6 (Elite) · Elo 1826
U. Catolica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1748
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Colo Colo
1st in Primera División · 61 pts from 27
- 8 NovWNublense Chile Primera Division1732
- 30 OctWUniversidad de Concepcion Chile Primera Division1719
- 25 OctDPalestino Chile Primera Division1752
- 11 OctLCoquimbo Unido Chile Primera Division1779
- 13 SepDConcepción Chile Primera Division1782
U. Catolica
3rd in Primera División · 49 pts from 27
- 8 NovWDeportes Limache Chile Primera Division1673
- 1 NovWUniversidad de Chile Chile Primera Division1647
- 28 OctDA. Italiano Chile Primera Division1668
- 25 OctLUnion La Calera Chile Primera Division1731
- 12 SepWPalestino Chile Primera Division1742
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 61 /27 | 66.3 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| U. Catolica | 49 /27 | 54.1 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Colo Colo: possession-based (how Fernando Ortíz plays) · U. Catolica: balanced profile (how D. Garnero plays)