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League Two · Regular Season - 11

Colchester 0–0 Exeter City

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester

Colchester crestColchesterTeam 1594
0–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Exeter City crestExeter CityTeam 1574

Match story

Colchester · draw · Exeter City

Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%

Live chances: Colchester 4%, draw 93%, Exeter City 3% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Colchester 42%, draw 30%, Exeter City 28%2' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 30%, Exeter City 28%3' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 30%, Exeter City 28%4' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 30%, Exeter City 28%5' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 30%, Exeter City 28%6' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%7' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%8' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%9' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%10' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%11' · 0–0 · Colchester 41%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%12' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%13' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 31%, Exeter City 28%13' · 1–0 · Colchester 68%, draw 21%, Exeter City 11%14' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 32%, Exeter City 28%16' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 32%, Exeter City 28%17' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 32%, Exeter City 28%18' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 32%, Exeter City 28%19' · 0–0 · Colchester 40%, draw 32%, Exeter City 28%20' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 33%, Exeter City 28%21' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 33%, Exeter City 28%22' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 33%, Exeter City 28%23' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 33%, Exeter City 28%24' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 33%, Exeter City 28%25' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 33%, Exeter City 28%26' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 34%, Exeter City 28%27' · 0–0 · Colchester 39%, draw 34%, Exeter City 28%28' · 0–0 · Colchester 38%, draw 34%, Exeter City 28%30' · 0–0 · Colchester 38%, draw 34%, Exeter City 28%31' · 0–0 · Colchester 38%, draw 35%, Exeter City 27%32' · 0–0 · Colchester 38%, draw 35%, Exeter City 27%33' · 0–0 · Colchester 38%, draw 35%, Exeter City 27%34' · 0–0 · Colchester 37%, draw 35%, Exeter City 27%35' · 0–0 · Colchester 37%, draw 36%, Exeter City 27%36' · 0–0 · Colchester 37%, draw 36%, Exeter City 27%37' · 0–0 · Colchester 37%, draw 36%, Exeter City 27%38' · 0–0 · Colchester 37%, draw 36%, Exeter City 27%39' · 0–0 · Colchester 36%, draw 37%, Exeter City 27%40' · 0–0 · Colchester 36%, draw 37%, Exeter City 27%41' · 0–0 · Colchester 36%, draw 37%, Exeter City 27%42' · 0–0 · Colchester 36%, draw 37%, Exeter City 27%43' · 0–0 · Colchester 36%, draw 38%, Exeter City 27%45' · 0–0 · Colchester 35%, draw 38%, Exeter City 26%45+1' · 0–0 · Colchester 35%, draw 39%, Exeter City 26%45+2' · 0–0 · Colchester 35%, draw 39%, Exeter City 26%HT · 0–0 · Colchester 34%, draw 40%, Exeter City 26%46' · 0–0 · Colchester 34%, draw 40%, Exeter City 26%48' · 0–0 · Colchester 34%, draw 40%, Exeter City 26%49' · 0–0 · Colchester 34%, draw 41%, Exeter City 25%50' · 0–0 · Colchester 33%, draw 41%, Exeter City 25%51' · 0–0 · Colchester 33%, draw 42%, Exeter City 25%52' · 0–0 · Colchester 33%, draw 42%, Exeter City 25%53' · 0–0 · Colchester 32%, draw 43%, Exeter City 25%54' · 0–0 · Colchester 32%, draw 43%, Exeter City 25%55' · 0–0 · Colchester 32%, draw 44%, Exeter City 24%56' · 0–0 · Colchester 31%, draw 45%, Exeter City 24%57' · 0–0 · Colchester 31%, draw 45%, Exeter City 24%58' · 0–0 · Colchester 30%, draw 46%, Exeter City 24%59' · 0–0 · Colchester 30%, draw 47%, Exeter City 23%60' · 0–0 · Colchester 30%, draw 47%, Exeter City 23%61' · 0–0 · Colchester 29%, draw 48%, Exeter City 23%62' · 0–0 · Colchester 29%, draw 49%, Exeter City 23%63' · 0–0 · Colchester 28%, draw 49%, Exeter City 22%64' · 0–0 · Colchester 28%, draw 50%, Exeter City 22%65' · 0–0 · Colchester 28%, draw 51%, Exeter City 22%66' · 0–0 · Colchester 27%, draw 51%, Exeter City 21%67' · 0–0 · Colchester 27%, draw 52%, Exeter City 21%68' · 0–0 · Colchester 26%, draw 53%, Exeter City 21%69' · 0–0 · Colchester 26%, draw 54%, Exeter City 20%71' · 0–0 · Colchester 25%, draw 56%, Exeter City 20%72' · 0–0 · Colchester 24%, draw 57%, Exeter City 19%73' · 0–0 · Colchester 24%, draw 58%, Exeter City 19%74' · 0–0 · Colchester 23%, draw 59%, Exeter City 18%75' · 0–0 · Colchester 22%, draw 60%, Exeter City 18%76' · 0–0 · Colchester 22%, draw 61%, Exeter City 18%77' · 0–0 · Colchester 21%, draw 62%, Exeter City 17%78' · 0–0 · Colchester 20%, draw 63%, Exeter City 17%79' · 0–0 · Colchester 20%, draw 64%, Exeter City 16%80' · 0–0 · Colchester 19%, draw 66%, Exeter City 15%81' · 0–0 · Colchester 18%, draw 67%, Exeter City 15%82' · 0–0 · Colchester 17%, draw 68%, Exeter City 14%83' · 0–0 · Colchester 17%, draw 70%, Exeter City 14%84' · 0–0 · Colchester 16%, draw 71%, Exeter City 13%85' · 0–0 · Colchester 15%, draw 73%, Exeter City 12%86' · 0–0 · Colchester 14%, draw 75%, Exeter City 11%87' · 0–0 · Colchester 13%, draw 76%, Exeter City 11%88' · 0–0 · Colchester 12%, draw 78%, Exeter City 10%89' · 0–0 · Colchester 11%, draw 80%, Exeter City 9%90' · 0–0 · Colchester 10%, draw 82%, Exeter City 8%90+1' · 0–0 · Colchester 8%, draw 85%, Exeter City 7%90+2' · 0–0 · Colchester 7%, draw 87%, Exeter City 6%90+3' · 0–0 · Colchester 6%, draw 90%, Exeter City 5%90+4' · 0–0 · Colchester 4%, draw 93%, Exeter City 3%

Last reading, 90+4': 4% · 93% · 3%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Colchester 42% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 17'Colchester:Jay Williams 1633 −1
  2. 39'Exeter City:Jack Fitzwater 1726 +1
  3. 62'Colchester:ronnie harvey 1444 0 for Oscar thorn 1610 0
  4. 62'Exeter City:Ethan Sutherland 1473 +2 for George Birch 1474 +4
  5. 62'Exeter City:Reece Cole 1640 −8* for Anthony Scully 1632 +2
  6. 62'Exeter City:Sonny Cox 1594 +1 for Taylor Perry 1676 +2
  7. 66'Exeter City:Charlie Cummins 1601 +3
  8. 74'Colchester:Kane Vincent-Young 1666 −10* for Robert Donald Hunt 1660 −4
  9. 74'Colchester:Kien Connelly 1437 0 for Bradley ihionvein 1520 0
  10. 79'Colchester:Beryly Lubala 1663 −2
  11. 80'Exeter City:Vincent Harper 1661 0 for Josh Gordon 1549 +1
  12. 90+3'Colchester:Leon Chiwome 990 −8* for Beryly Lubala 1663 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GT. Lo-Tutala1733−2
DR. Hunt1660−4
DJ. Tucker1723−5
DF. Terry15870
DE. Iandolo1713−3
MP. Digby1532−4
MJ. Williams1633−1
MO. Thorn16100
MM. Sesay1644−1
MB. Lubala1663−2
FB. Ihionvien15200
CD. Cowley1676−2
GJ. Bycroft1672+3
DL. Samuel1398+6
DJ. Taylor1340+10
DJ. Fitzwater1726+1
DL. Woodhouse1702+2
MJ. Doyle-Hayes1624+2
MC. Cummins1601+3
MA. Scully1632+2
MT. Perry1676+2
MGeorge Birch1474+4
FJ. Gordon1549+1
CM. Taylor1644+5
Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%(Colchester · draw · Exeter City)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–0 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Colchester €241K, Exeter City €214K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Colchester

19th in League Two · 10 pts from 9

  • 10 OctLNewport County 1653
  • 3 OctDLuton 1613
  • 26 SepDShrewsbury 1668
  • 22 SepLPeterborough 1498
  • 19 SepDCheltenham 1681

Exeter City

14th in League Two · 12 pts from 10

  • 10 OctWShrewsbury 1571
  • 6 OctDOxford United 1528
  • 3 OctWRotherham 1542
  • 26 SepLBristol Rovers 1556
  • 22 SepDCheltenham 1493

Season outlook

From the League Two simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Colchester10 /957.7<1%3%11%20th
Exeter City12 /1057.6<1%2%11%16th
Colchester
Exeter City

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League Two

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

T. Lo-Tutala
T. Lo-Tutala

Colchester · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1735

J. Fitzwater
J. Fitzwater

Exeter City · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1726

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Danny Cowley

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Matthew James Taylor

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Colchester: balanced profile (how Danny Cowley plays) · Exeter City: balanced profile (how Matthew James Taylor plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.